TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Ilkley: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Vendula Valdmannova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lucrezia Stefaniniof Lucrezia Stefanini, Vendula Valdmannova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,814 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Vendula Valdmannova34c13,147$4,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,431.789,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Lucrezia Stefanini70c9,657$6,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.3694140.6%382 W · 559 L-31.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lucrezia Stefanini62c3,084$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.111,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Vendula Valdmannova33c2,871$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.3565952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Lucrezia Stefanini29c2,417$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.474528.9%13 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Vendula Valdmannova50c2,385$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.488,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Vendula Valdmannova30c2,105$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.584,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vendula Valdmannova66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3209,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Lucrezia Stefanini35c1,709$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.631,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lucrezia Stefanini68c1,454$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.544,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a2b…57dcbacked Lucrezia Stefanini80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-65.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Vendula Valdmannova27c1,202$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.432,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Lucrezia Stefanini53c1,157$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.5825451.6%131 W · 123 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Lucrezia Stefanini62c1,083$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.6112369.9%86 W · 37 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Vendula Valdmannova65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6503,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lucrezia Stefanini71c979.09$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.84,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lucrezia Stefanini63c793$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.411,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Lucrezia Stefanini35c714.28$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.282,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Lucrezia Stefanini20c700$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini34c675.66$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.266,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Vendula Valdmannova66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Vendula Valdmannova58c472$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.634,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Vendula Valdmannova34c370.41$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.913,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Vendula Valdmannova15c318.53$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7851445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Vendula Valdmannova66c298.51$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.341,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe011…3b5bbacked Lucrezia Stefanini71c253.66$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.561291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8f0…b753backed Lucrezia Stefanini63c247$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3914369.2%99 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Lucrezia Stefanini37c241.01$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.042,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Lucrezia Stefanini21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.127528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Vendula Valdmannova59c234.8$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.681,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vendula Valdmannova46c221.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.768,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Vendula Valdmannova54c201.1$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.462,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Vendula Valdmannova43c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.176,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f1…dcbebacked Vendula Valdmannova62c175$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.53554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Lucrezia Stefanini69c172$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.71,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Vendula Valdmannova9c171.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166755.2%37 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Lucrezia Stefanini61c162.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.31,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Lucrezia Stefanini64c156.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7516063.8%102 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed6…9172backed Lucrezia Stefanini64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Lucrezia Stefanini34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.065,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Vendula Valdmannova31c144.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.285742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Lucrezia Stefanini37c123.34$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.922,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lucrezia Stefanini44c118.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.923,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Vendula Valdmannova28c115.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3436757.8%212 W · 155 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lucrezia Stefanini41c109.6$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.113,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89b6…886ebacked Lucrezia Stefanini43c104.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6517860.1%107 W · 71 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Lucrezia Stefanini67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3311745.3%53 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94c1…e5adbacked Lucrezia Stefanini80c87.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.54173.2%30 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Lucrezia Stefanini27c82.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.222,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Lucrezia Stefanini55c72.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7223658.1%137 W · 99 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef86…95dcbacked Lucrezia Stefanini71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Lucrezia Stefanini78c63.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9347274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Vendula Valdmannova31c62.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6528048.9%137 W · 143 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfccf…2aefbacked Vendula Valdmannova68c61.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.874153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Vendula Valdmannova57c60.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.647854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Lucrezia Stefanini35c57.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.692,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Vendula Valdmannova40c57.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.915,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Vendula Valdmannova47c57.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.386,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9bc…377ebacked Lucrezia Stefanini35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1424918.5%46 W · 203 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x103f…86dbbacked Lucrezia Stefanini63c56.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0316362%101 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Lucrezia Stefanini39c48.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.652,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Vendula Valdmannova42c47.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,08754.1%1,130 W · 957 L+64.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5820…b6f6backed Lucrezia Stefanini68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.128959.6%53 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Vendula Valdmannova37c39.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6541544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Vendula Valdmannova36c39.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.280051%408 W · 392 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Lucrezia Stefanini80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.523551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Lucrezia Stefanini42c37.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.842,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bd…e48fbacked Vendula Valdmannova37c34.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9215053.3%80 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Lucrezia Stefanini37c34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4219459.3%115 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x091e…2545backed Lucrezia Stefanini77c34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Vendula Valdmannova36c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Vendula Valdmannova65c31.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.433,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be0…d25cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.412378.3%18 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini42c28.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.64641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Lucrezia Stefanini40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Vendula Valdmannova58c24.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4659565.4%389 W · 206 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed Lucrezia Stefanini55c23.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7217062.4%106 W · 64 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Lucrezia Stefanini74c23.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9938860.6%235 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fe3…6580backed Vendula Valdmannova71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21070%7 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick74cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Lucrezia Stefanini62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.626345.6%120 W · 143 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9603…de5ebacked Lucrezia Stefanini71c19.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.566387.3%55 W · 8 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick74cpaid+19.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Vendula Valdmannova63c17.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.761,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Lucrezia Stefanini62c16.76$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.316654.8%91 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf43a…fe23backed Lucrezia Stefanini64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf750…0df2backed Lucrezia Stefanini76c13.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.162781.5%22 W · 5 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+40.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x44aa…20e6backed Lucrezia Stefanini80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.