TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5be0…d25c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2378.3%18 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.44
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ilkley: Elvina Kalieva vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Ilkley: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Vendula Valdmannovabacked Lucrezia Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Ilkley: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Akasha Urhobobacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Ilkley: Veronika Podrez vs Tatiana Prozorovabacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Ilkley: Linda Klimovicova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$19.33
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sarah Rakotomangabacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jazmin Ortenzibacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Ioannis Xilasbacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.44
Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomerybacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Libema Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.81
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$22
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Belluccibacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Andre Ilaganbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$17.46
ITF Cuiaba: Nicolas Oliveira vs Carlos Maria Zaratebacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$13.64
ITF Sumter: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kristina Liutovabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.67
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$12.01
Tyler: Liam Draxl vs Braden Shickbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Andres Martinbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.58
Tyler: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Gorznybacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$5.76
Birmingham: Alex Bolt vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+40%+$12.8
Will Panama win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$17.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$10.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Joanderson Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$14.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.