Tennis · resolved market
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd53696e2f03077cd52186b22543fb0ab14f5e95fe19f7419e9e85b0d698873a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex de Minaurof Martin Damm, Alex de Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Martin Damm | 16c | 18,045$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.85 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Martin Damm | 15c | 15,068$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.85 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…ce7abacked Alex de Minaur | 79c | 9,975$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.47 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Alex de Minaur | 80c | 8,367$6,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.85 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Martin Damm | 20c | 6,649$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.77 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Martin Damm | 15c | 6,210$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.43 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Martin Damm | 27c | 6,100$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Martin Damm | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Martin Damm | 10c | 4,817$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Alex de Minaur | 80c | 4,075$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.96 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…6ccdbacked Alex de Minaur | 79c | 3,701$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.77 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…7984backed Martin Damm | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Martin Damm | 13c | 3,230$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.85 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Alex de Minaur | 78c | 3,200$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.56 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Martin Damm | 23c | 2,606$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.23 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Martin Damm | 24c | 2,528$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.01 | 134 | 27.6%37 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Martin Damm | 13c | 2,222$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Martin Damm | 9c | 2,044$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.96 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Martin Damm | 11c | 1,932$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Martin Damm | 22c | 1,825$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.54 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Martin Damm | 16c | 1,757$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Martin Damm | 13c | 1,665$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…ef53backed Martin Damm | 7c | 1,526$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Martin Damm | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Martin Damm | 11c | 1,491$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Martin Damm | 23c | 1,481$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…f577backed Alex de Minaur | 73c | 1,402$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.45 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Martin Damm | 14c | 1,400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Martin Damm | 9c | 1,340$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…0e50backed Martin Damm | 14c | 1,171$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Martin Damm | 10c | 1,141$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Martin Damm | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Alex de Minaur | 79c | 1,052$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.03 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Martin Damm | 25c | 1,024$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.07 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Martin Damm | 18c | 1,021$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Martin Damm | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Martin Damm | 21c | 999.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…be97backed Alex de Minaur | 76c | 936$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Martin Damm | 21c | 871.63$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.04 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Martin Damm | 13c | 851.32$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Martin Damm | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Martin Damm | 12c | 826.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Martin Damm | 23c | 689.04$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.42 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Alex de Minaur | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Alex de Minaur | 77c | 654.2$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.47 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Alex de Minaur | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Martin Damm | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Martin Damm | 14c | 606.54$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Martin Damm | 12c | 575$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Martin Damm | 22c | 574.95$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Martin Damm | 24c | 512.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Martin Damm | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Martin Damm | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Martin Damm | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Martin Damm | 21c | 465.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Martin Damm | 15c | 461.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Martin Damm | 22c | 453.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Martin Damm | 24c | 450$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Martin Damm | 23c | 434.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Martin Damm | 14c | 415.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Martin Damm | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…2d71backed Martin Damm | 15c | 398.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…07fdbacked Alex de Minaur | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735c…55edbacked Alex de Minaur | 76c | 394.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…53c3backed Alex de Minaur | 75c | 386.67$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…d170backed Martin Damm | 17c | 385.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Martin Damm | 21c | 377.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Alex de Minaur | 76c | 364.47$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Martin Damm | 22c | 363.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Martin Damm | 14c | 346.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Martin Damm | 15c | 327.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Martin Damm | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Martin Damm | 25c | 322$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Martin Damm | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Martin Damm | 22c | 300$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…3f01backed Martin Damm | 22c | 296$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Alex de Minaur | 79c | 291.14$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Martin Damm | 20c | 273.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Martin Damm | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Martin Damm | 11c | 256.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…2f04backed Alex de Minaur | 78c | 254.54$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Martin Damm | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Alex de Minaur | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Martin Damm | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…08b8backed Martin Damm | 13c | 249.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Martin Damm | 21c | 222.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…8458backed Martin Damm | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Martin Damm | 24c | 216.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Martin Damm | 15c | 213.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…67e3backed Alex de Minaur | 78c | 210$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Martin Damm | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…4d49backed Alex de Minaur | 79c | 202.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Martin Damm | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Martin Damm | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Martin Damm | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Martin Damm | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked Martin Damm | 15c | 199.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Martin Damm | 22c | 185.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Martin Damm | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed Martin Damm | 14c | 173.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaurthis page
- Damm vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Martin Damm vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Damm vs MinaurMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.