Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Damm vs Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa58eba7fdbf8882e32023930d4c32b678073b4d0a0ccf4ff8ce876bd1e68fd58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Damm, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Minaur | 61c | 950.01$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.4 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…6a74backed Damm | 76c | 848.36$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f31…ac9fbacked Damm | 50c | 598.86$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minaur | 47c | 565.63$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.53 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Damm | 44c | 501.18$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Minaur | 64c | 449.03$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Minaur | 6c | 373.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +846.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Minaur | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Damm | 38c | 300.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Minaur | 59c | 286.03$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Damm | 13c | 207.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Minaur | 47c | 204.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Damm | 31c | 190$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Minaur | 69c | 175.84$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minaur | 45c | 159.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Minaur | 65c | 154.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Minaur | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Minaur | 61c | 113.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Minaur | 48c | 101.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Minaur | 77c | 89.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…fb48backed Damm | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Damm | 37c | 77.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Damm | 18c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 266 | 40.6%108 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Damm | 30c | 67.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b79…e1e8backed Minaur | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Damm | 38c | 57.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Minaur | 40c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Damm | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Damm | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Damm | 37c | 30.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Minaur | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Damm vs Minaurthis page
- Damm vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur won
- Martin Damm vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.