TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x99bc…be97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$307.11
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.91
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$375
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$394.22
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$813.04
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$224.64
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$287.3
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Open Sud de France: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+70.1%+$245.41
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+60.4%+$1,327.13
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+540.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.05
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$79.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+190.9%+$477.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+68.9%+$354.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.6%+$268.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,403Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$2,071.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+41.9%+$419.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$44.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025backed Eubank Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.