TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Open Sud de France: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Christopher O'Connell

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Agutof Agut, O'Connell
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33c9…6f9abacked Agut51c10,601$5,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,176.7294355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Agut55c7,929$4,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,544.4111,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Agut47c5,258$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.332,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed O'Connell27c5,171$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.457630.3%23 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd95c…f1d7backed Agut70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Agut58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9943051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed O'Connell40c3,982$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.6676546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked O'Connell40c3,748$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.4616830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2218…9467backed Agut51c2,920$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Agut51c2,664$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.253336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed O'Connell42c2,645$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.1114750.3%74 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked O'Connell41c2,587$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.922,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed O'Connell53c2,425$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.111,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed O'Connell35c2,314$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.288,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Agut60c2,150$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86067249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…7ca0backed O'Connell35c2,143$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.86850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ae…9c62backed O'Connell52c1,610$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked O'Connell69c1,512$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.4163247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed O'Connell43c1,487$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.141,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed O'Connell41c1,415$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.4657645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Agut56c1,382$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.191,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Agut57c1,354$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.378452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed O'Connell46c1,323$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.92,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed O'Connell45c1,226$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55060753.7%326 W · 281 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Agut69c1,162$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.6136968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked O'Connell49c1,150$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.487,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Agut63c1,135$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.3965647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3386…b061backed Agut30c1,130$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+64.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked O'Connell54c1,129$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.38052.5%42 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed O'Connell39c1,003$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.567533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b5…0e15backed O'Connell42c999.98$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed O'Connell51c980.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed O'Connell42c942.66$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.11,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed O'Connell55c780$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4284146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed O'Connell40c759.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.54,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Agut61c655.87$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.873053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd246…5622backed Agut59c643.03$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.92326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed O'Connell66c641.87$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5918663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…be97backed Agut59c595.41$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.41850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Agut53c550$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.531153.1%165 W · 146 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ee…56e7backed Agut61c531.21$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.631030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Agut58c516.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0931753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed O'Connell19c507.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6672132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdf…3198backed Agut49c501.24$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Agut59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20511353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked O'Connell41c493.56$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.361,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Agut52c492.91$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.826,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Agut65c476.87$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.539348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed O'Connell42c464.79$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.212317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Agut50c452.36$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.516,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed O'Connell45c445.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020844.2%92 W · 116 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Agut57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.66851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed O'Connell49c425.43$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2123945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed O'Connell42c416.06$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8316340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Agut51c393.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8255646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed O'Connell58c385.96$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed O'Connell42c380$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.642141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked O'Connell38c341.81$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5129533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Agut61c330$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.958753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Agut59c322.51$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5199139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked O'Connell41c321.95$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed O'Connell57c320.48$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18414858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1362…16ccbacked Agut51c294.54$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.544540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Agut58c277.05$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3668350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x458d…b7c8backed Agut58c272.41$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.411861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Agut63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.12969%20 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Agut50c233.44$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.621741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed O'Connell42c233$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2225428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Agut66c225.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.862958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Agut54c214.81$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8129152.6%153 W · 138 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3fa…1d28backed Agut49c204.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Agut36c203.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.171,38116.4%227 W · 1,154 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed O'Connell61c203.63$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5593048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Agut55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0516856%94 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Agut35c200$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13112740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Agut57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8670465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked O'Connell42c195$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.222,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Agut52c192.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3328833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed O'Connell55c191.77$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.822965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Agut53c190.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.191,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed O'Connell32c187.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2126227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Agut71c186$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.496,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked O'Connell43c175.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4434842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Agut57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4435157%200 W · 151 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed Agut61c172.09$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.953756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca4…e4e7backed Agut59c170.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.088350.6%42 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Agut58c169.47$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1865652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Agut30c163$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.17936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Agut62c161.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.752544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Agut58c159$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1558859%347 W · 241 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8612…6a0abacked O'Connell41c158.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Agut58c155.78$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.781376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Agut27c155$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.813923.7%33 W · 106 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Agut66c150.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.548154.3%44 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x788f…8c1ebacked O'Connell67c150.3$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.718460.3%111 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x279b…2365backed Agut67c145.68$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.687237.5%27 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93b1…be45backed Agut70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Agut72c138.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.238767.8%59 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Agut29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9324638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked O'Connell75c135.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9213648.5%66 W · 70 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.