Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4dc63fff275ce636a25ccdbc7439a1a9a838fc0e9dfd5ff69b6319ae537dd22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Alcaraz, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,849,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,426,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,849,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,901 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Alcaraz | 74c | 581,391$427,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,696.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Djokovic | 26c | 531,111$139,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,903.21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Djokovic | 45c | 441,737$199,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199,454.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Alcaraz | 73c | 355,233$258,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,415.32 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Alcaraz | 65c | 245,110$158,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,411.82 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Djokovic | 27c | 241,849$65,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,094.71 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Alcaraz | 74c | 232,710$171,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,437 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Alcaraz | 73c | 201,219$146,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,329.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Djokovic | 27c | 180,000$48,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,600 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Djokovic | 32c | 146,192$46,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,503.22 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Djokovic | 27c | 140,681$37,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,984 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Djokovic | 28c | 117,038$33,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,306.5 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Djokovic | 24c | 102,265$24,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,570.87 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Alcaraz | 74c | 100,000$74,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Djokovic | 27c | 90,000$24,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,299.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Djokovic | 27c | 85,778$23,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,160 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Alcaraz | 73c | 79,999$58,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,599.84 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Djokovic | 22c | 76,337$17,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,041.78 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Djokovic | 27c | 71,341$19,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,262.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Djokovic | 31c | 70,293$21,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,448.6 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Alcaraz | 73c | 69,999$51,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,899.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Djokovic | 27c | 64,228$17,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,341.56 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…79fbbacked Alcaraz | 74c | 61,145$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,144.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Djokovic | 20c | 60,855$12,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,165.43 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Alcaraz | 47c | 59,305$28,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,134.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…0c02backed Alcaraz | 68c | 54,470$36,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,687.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Djokovic | 53c | 51,226$27,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,149.98 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Alcaraz | 73c | 45,942$33,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,404.38 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…8cd5backed Alcaraz | 73c | 44,361$32,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,175.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…09efbacked Djokovic | 28c | 41,188$11,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,532.64 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Alcaraz | 73c | 40,735$29,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,998.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Djokovic | 26c | 38,221$9,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,855.4 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Djokovic | 27c | 37,000$9,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,990 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…8f16backed Djokovic | 26c | 34,600$8,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,996 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Alcaraz | 73c | 31,515$23,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,509.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Alcaraz | 73c | 30,000$21,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Djokovic | 32c | 28,342$9,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,186.07 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Djokovic | 34c | 27,591$9,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,347.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…06b7backed Alcaraz | 74c | 26,985$19,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,016 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Alcaraz | 62c | 25,000$15,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600.58 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…7992backed Djokovic | 25c | 25,000$6,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Alcaraz | 69c | 23,914$16,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,517.26 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Alcaraz | 74c | 20,277$15,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,272.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Alcaraz | 74c | 20,270$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,270.27 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Alcaraz | 69c | 20,014$13,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.69 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Alcaraz | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Alcaraz | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Alcaraz | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Alcaraz | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Djokovic | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.97 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked Alcaraz | 79c | 19,695$15,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,147.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Djokovic | 27c | 19,079$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,151.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Djokovic | 27c | 18,890$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Djokovic | 28c | 17,857$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Alcaraz | 53c | 17,750$9,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,294.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Alcaraz | 50c | 16,893$8,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,427.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Djokovic | 26c | 16,314$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241.6 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alcaraz | 74c | 16,234$12,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.02 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…51a0backed Djokovic | 18c | 16,129$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Alcaraz | 72c | 15,430$11,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,366.34 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Alcaraz | 59c | 15,372$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,372.05 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Alcaraz | 73c | 15,222$11,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,109.94 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Alcaraz | 73c | 15,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alcaraz | 66c | 14,823$9,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Alcaraz | 68c | 14,519$9,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,643.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Alcaraz | 74c | 14,000$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Alcaraz | 72c | 13,982$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.25 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Alcaraz | 65c | 13,920$9,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,847.82 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Alcaraz | 57c | 13,317$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.45 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…0f4fbacked Alcaraz | 74c | 13,120$9,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…505abacked Djokovic | 26c | 13,000$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…b2d8backed Alcaraz | 74c | 12,786$9,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.06 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…6d5bbacked Djokovic | 9c | 12,472$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Djokovic | 27c | 12,222$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Alcaraz | 72c | 12,206$8,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.77 | 257 | 64.6%166 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Djokovic | 27c | 12,101$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.32 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Djokovic | 26c | 12,024$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126.16 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Djokovic | 24c | 11,842$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.82 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Alcaraz | 72c | 11,583$8,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.06 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Djokovic | 42c | 11,540$4,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,824.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Alcaraz | 46c | 11,055$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,022.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Djokovic | 27c | 10,994$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ca…477bbacked Djokovic | 38c | 10,495$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Alcaraz | 73c | 10,167$7,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.61 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…2943backed Alcaraz | 69c | 10,163$6,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Djokovic | 27c | 10,107$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Alcaraz | 73c | 10,029$7,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.7 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…d699backed Alcaraz | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Alcaraz | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Djokovic | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Alcaraz | 74c | 10,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Djokovic | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Alcaraz | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.95 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Djokovic | 26c | 9,996$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.07 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Alcaraz | 52c | 9,596$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,606.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Alcaraz | 76c | 9,500$7,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.79 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Djokovic | 25c | 9,262$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.46 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Alcaraz | 73c | 9,242$6,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.97 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alcaraz | 63c | 8,559$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.89 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Djokovic | 23c | 8,506$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.49 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicthis page
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)Alcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.