Tennis · resolved market
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc44de0dfb2e10983bac98dbe79331e75b20c02cdbb1ea25adef978eff1c8192d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $279,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Under | 52c | 252,117$130,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,534.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 48c | 146,329$70,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,237.91 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 48c | 100,000$48,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,500 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 51c | 6,453$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 50c | 3,585$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.55 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Over | 58c | 2,476$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,670$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.08 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Over | 50c | 1,625$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 1,552$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.27 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 1,289$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.88 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 1,171$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.2 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 999.99$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.99 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 964.9$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.65 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Over | 51c | 743.19$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Under | 66c | 714.51$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 48c | 699.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…74cabacked Under | 52c | 581.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…70cebacked Under | 52c | 580.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 570.46$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.82 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 2c | 542.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Over | 51c | 532.35$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…5b73backed Over | 66c | 451.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 426.85$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.43 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 651 | 49.2%320 W · 331 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…4568backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Under | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 49c | 323.23$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Over | 49c | 319.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +161.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…717cbacked Over | 50c | 317.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 49c | 310.34$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.83 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 42c | 308.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x206d…b96cbacked Over | 50c | 255.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…c7f6backed Over | 31c | 254.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Under | 51c | 246.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…057dbacked Under | 11c | 220.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +831.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 48c | 208.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…3b67backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Under | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…c07cbacked Over | 51c | 189.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…f3b3backed Over | 54c | 172.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…52efbacked Over | 45c | 133.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 14c | 129.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…991cbacked Under | 52c | 101.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 101.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…8d92backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Over | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +96%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 74.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 44c | 68.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Under | 73c | 66.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194e…1833backed Over | 31c | 64.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +183%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 50c | 63.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 50c | 59.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Over | 50c | 58.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34df…18b0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…0adebacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 34c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…8b7dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 267 | 37.5%100 W · 167 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…92f7backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…822bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 359 | 61.6%221 W · 138 L | +40.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…0e03backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…dc1bbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 38.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…f704backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9b…7605backed Over | 53c | 38.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Over | 53c | 37.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec51…b1d3backed Over | 53c | 37.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 37.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Over | 55c | 36.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 50c | 34.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 52c | 33.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -19.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…ffb3backed Under | 51c | 32.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…29e5backed Over | 47c | 32.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…b984backed Over | 50c | 31.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…d077backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Under | 51c | 29.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Over | 50c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Over | 51c | 27.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 52c | 25.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…727fbacked Over | 48c | 25.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…9904backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…bd88backed Over | 52c | 22.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 21.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5this page
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicAlcaraz won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)Alcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.