TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9077…9c3f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
204
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Weather, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5052%26 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machacbacked Mees Rottgering · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$14.09
US Open, Qualification ATP: Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinkabacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$47.03
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazuabacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.15
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesanabacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$29.67
Winston-Salem Open: Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenierbacked Hugo Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.3
Set Handicap: Dolehide (-1.5) vs Podrez (+1.5)backed Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.49
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.35
US Open, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.52
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.46
US Open, Qualification ATP: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Aziz Dougazbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.55
Philadelphia: Veronika Erjavec vs Julia Grabherbacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.92
Set Handicap: Stefanini (-1.5) vs Aksu (+1.5)backed Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kayla Day vs Julieta Parejabacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.93
Set 1 Winner: Sramkova vs Ibragimovabacked Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.58
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$40.63
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.98
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.54
Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Asschebacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.57
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$96.63
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.63
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.56
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.82
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$7.44
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.2
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.76
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.03
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$8.69
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.41
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.58
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.49
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+208.5%+$34.98
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+62%+$19.03
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.68
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+150%+$18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.04
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+55.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+185.7%+$19.5
Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Lyft (LYFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.54
Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.99
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+1,683.5%+$283.12
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Estee Lauder (EL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will KKR & Co (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+455.6%+$63.78
Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
Will Aflac (AFL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.7
Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36.78
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16
Will Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$27.95
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$12.57
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.32
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$14.67
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.5%+$52.24
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+203%+$25.38
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.62
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25%+$11.25
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.6
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.95
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.87
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.63
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.49
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.08
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.66
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.97
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.09
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$54.62
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+116.1%+$31.06
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.43
Panthers vs. Billsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Spread: CLE (-3.5)backed CHI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.76
CLE vs. CHI: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.7
TB vs. NYJ: O/U 35.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.6
MIA vs. WAS: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
DET vs. CIN: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.66
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+177.8%+$19.2
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+122.2%+$21.99
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$39.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.81
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.69
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.22
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.01
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$15.23
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$7.24
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.26
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.51
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$5.64
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.43
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+27.1%+$7.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+43.5%+$73.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$95.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.