TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,280 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes30c31,554$9,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,137.6449136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No71c27,500$19,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,647.244768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c17,833$7,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,612.735,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c15,723$11,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,006.191,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes29c14,396$4,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,245.8523733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes30c11,899$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,360.938756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes30c8,261$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,786.1438233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes19c7,101$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,753.822,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes28c5,994$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,311.465358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No57c5,880$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3672,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c4,605$3,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,223.923,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c3,985$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,812.741,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c3,863$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.351,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed No80c3,100$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.8912156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes75c2,682$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.952171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No75c2,643$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.013,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No50c2,454$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.947256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes41c2,220$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.2625635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes48c1,703$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.1612740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No70c1,606$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.9678756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes30c1,312$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.82339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No70c1,311$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.8451749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fb…d07cbacked No23c1,305$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes26c944.7$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.171,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No21c920.43$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.019122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No77c882.03$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.1721252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes17c787.34$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.148547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No54c746.42$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.2311354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No70c701$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.72,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No68c693$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.4710128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.677332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No71c654.7$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.5716751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No70c647.2$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.046759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes27c619.27$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.0731039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No43c604.62$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5abe…84cebacked No50c602.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30090%0 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes39c596$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.937540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No14c529.6$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9782434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c473.48$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.948,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Yes31c465.43$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.22850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No70c405.31$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.061,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes47c393.31$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1332139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No70c381.02$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.711,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes38c378$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9519437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9661…36f6backed Yes30c366$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.371838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes29c342$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.822917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No13c341.37$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4357540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes42c331.76$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8731136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No61c326$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.043756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes36c311.71$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.085466.7%36 W · 18 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x834d…0c31backed Yes25c307$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.74650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+100.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked No53c299.92$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.521330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c290.62$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.431,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No72c281.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.752556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes38c277.9$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.618347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes14c252.1$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.151945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes29c247$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3810249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes14c239.44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4950643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No65c223.55$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8612646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No44c219.61$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4412065%78 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd3…99b2backed No72c210.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.391040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed No13c203$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.983935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No26c195$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c193$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.11,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes22c190.48$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.731,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe968…de6fbacked No77c190.39$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No57c190$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8418359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67c0…00d7backed Yes28c189.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.91637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No71c183.63$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3819040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No57c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.55446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No70c177.36$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.392,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c169.5$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.241,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yes37c161.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9211944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked No40c161.01$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.783259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+55.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes27c154$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.423636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1455946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No70c146.78$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7518247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdba3…a866backed Yes54c144.58$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes26c143.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2521938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No71c137.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0316641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No52c136.37$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.585855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes37c135.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.178247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed No71c132.9$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.364856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Yes13c131.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.392846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed No72c131.25$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.93452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed No50c123$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.52536%9 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes73c121.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.94785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+47.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes30c116.57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.625625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes33c110.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4319050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed No32c104.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.362321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes19c103.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9230231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04e5…10dcbacked Yes19c103$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+75.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes18c100.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3349535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa64f…bcf8backed Yes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5624535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes37c97.51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4312545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.