NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Rockets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d25c553b41d6760febe58b0ce5c9a3cb4509e53302989f3e10bb7f5a34a2148

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Celtics, Rockets
Resolved: Feb 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,435,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,548,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,435,986 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bd7…373ebacked Celtics	30c	303,797$90,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213,109.78	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Celtics	31c	200,000$62,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137,999.99	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Rockets	69c	178,243$123,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123,108.76	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics	34c	127,807$43,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84,352.63	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Rockets	71c	114,736$81,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,706.16	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Celtics	33c	113,658$36,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76,717.34	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets	70c	91,084$64,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,132.25	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets	69c	78,330$54,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,271.63	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Rockets	65c	72,000$46,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,973.39	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Rockets	70c	56,338$39,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,642.48	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Rockets	70c	53,000$37,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,160	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets	69c	49,578$34,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,333.58	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets	68c	37,353$25,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,222	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Rockets	76c	36,474$27,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,871.31	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets	69c	35,584$24,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,552.78	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Celtics	29c	30,877$8,924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,952.96	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets	67c	30,077$20,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,261.25	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets	69c	29,893$20,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,550.36	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Rockets	73c	27,372$19,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,981.74	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets	16c	27,051$4,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,220.91	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Rockets	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Celtics	43c	25,000$10,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,304.85	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets	69c	24,005$16,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,512.58	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets	68c	22,805$15,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,585.01	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Rockets	66c	22,272$14,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,699.44	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics	30c	20,000$5,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,100	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets	69c	20,000$13,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,800	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Celtics	31c	20,000$6,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,800	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Rockets	69c	20,000$13,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,800	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe668…fecabacked Rockets	11c	20,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,299.99	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Rockets	72c	20,000$14,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,399.88	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed Celtics	28c	17,500$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,600	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets	69c	16,627$11,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,423.34	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Celtics	29c	16,310$4,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,580.1	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Rockets	69c	16,000$11,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,040	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Rockets	70c	15,070$10,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,549	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe2…8f16backed Rockets	67c	15,000$10,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,049.84	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Celtics	35c	14,500$5,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,425	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9575…e916backed Rockets	65c	14,500$9,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,424.74	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Rockets	22c	14,430$3,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,185.98	129	55%71 W · 58 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets	70c	14,203$9,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,940.11	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets	71c	13,547$9,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,553.87	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics	27c	13,532$3,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,811.79	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Rockets	19c	13,500$2,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,544.99	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets	1c	11,694$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.94	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics	41c	10,679$4,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,334.61	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Rockets	71c	10,378$7,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,368.38	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Celtics	31c	10,001$3,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,900.69	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Rockets	69c	10,000$6,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,900	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Rockets	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba69…8e9dbacked Rockets	71c	10,000$7,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,100	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	64cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Rockets	70c	10,000$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Rockets	69c	10,000$6,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,900	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Celtics	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,700	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Rockets	72c	10,000$7,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,200	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Celtics	31c	10,000$3,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,900	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked Rockets	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Celtics	30c	10,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,999.99	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Rockets	65c	9,940$6,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,461.86	489	44.2%216 W · 273 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x953c…1aacbacked Celtics	30c	9,767$2,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,871.84	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Rockets	69c	9,598$6,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,622.64	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Rockets	70c	9,295$6,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,506.5	146	63.7%93 W · 53 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics	56c	8,684$4,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,864.54	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Rockets	66c	8,674$5,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,725.15	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Celtics	31c	8,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,549.99	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Celtics	45c	7,455$3,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,100.82	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets	68c	7,453$5,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,055.18	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Rockets	0c	7,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e1…b37bbacked Rockets	60c	6,917$4,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,171.09	165	50.3%83 W · 82 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Celtics	38c	6,579$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,078.95	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336a…0e3ebacked Celtics	31c	6,161$1,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,251.29	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Celtics	36c	6,150$2,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,927.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics	50c	6,062$3,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,015.53	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets	0c	6,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Rockets	65c	5,940$3,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,860.97	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8d…4537backed Rockets	65c	5,700$3,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,704.96	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad1…ab40backed Rockets	65c	5,500$3,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,574.98	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.20per pick	51cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Rockets	70c	5,462$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Rockets	5c	5,378$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.07	103	4.9%5 W · 98 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Celtics	31c	5,348$1,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,700.74	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Rockets	6c	5,331$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.62	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa1f6…673abacked Celtics	28c	5,261$1,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,787.82	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Rockets	69c	5,220$3,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,613.6	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Rockets	70c	5,125$3,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,585.07	369	50.1%185 W · 184 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Rockets	70c	5,057$3,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,562.75	163	70.6%115 W · 48 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Celtics	29c	5,000$1,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,550	221	40.3%89 W · 132 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Rockets	53c	5,000$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,649.99	219	44.7%98 W · 121 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Rockets	77c	5,000$3,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,849.98	113	58.4%66 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets	4c	5,000$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdda6…925abacked Celtics	24c	4,969$1,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,792.61	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockets	1c	4,954$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.28	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Rockets	71c	4,819$3,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,408	72	58.3%42 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Celtics	28c	4,557$1,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,260.92	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Rockets	70c	4,293$3,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,005	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Rockets	65c	4,200$2,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,724	125	47.2%59 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rockets	0c	4,177$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.58	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics	45c	4,162$1,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,295.44	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Celtics	28c	4,000$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,880	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Celtics	27c	4,000$1,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,910	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Rockets	70c	4,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,799.97	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Celtics vs. Rocketsthis page
1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Celtics won
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Celtics vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5Under won
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5Under won
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5Under won
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5Under won
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5Under won
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Under won
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Under won
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Under won
Derrick White: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Sam Hauser: Points O/U 10.5No won
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Celtics won
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Celtics won
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Celtics won
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Celtics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Celtics vs. Rockets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event