NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc59679b21d854ae828b3919d8113a6b94be945d255a2113d12a17a6a62c31cc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Rockets, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets | 47c | 126,813$59,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,602.02 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 53c | 125,000$66,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,749.99 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Celtics | 46c | 42,830$19,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,128.24 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Celtics | 44c | 20,683$9,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,591.29 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 54c | 15,967$8,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,634.49 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Celtics | 72c | 15,068$10,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220.49 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 28c | 13,554$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.12 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 54c | 13,319$7,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,166.82 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 52c | 12,961$6,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,739.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Celtics | 58c | 11,206$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.37 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Celtics | 44c | 10,637$4,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,947.9 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Rockets | 55c | 7,600$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,151.09 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Rockets | 55c | 7,329$4,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.89 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Celtics | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rockets | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.98 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 52c | 4,886$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.33 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 50c | 4,820$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.24 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Celtics | 46c | 4,133$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.76 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Celtics | 44c | 3,960$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.6 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 51c | 3,637$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.8 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Rockets | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics | 47c | 3,388$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.05 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Celtics | 53c | 3,227$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.18 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 47c | 3,062$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Rockets | 53c | 2,700$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.05 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Rockets | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Rockets | 57c | 2,277$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.69 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Rockets | 46c | 2,192$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.32 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Celtics | 54c | 2,192$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.32 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Celtics | 47c | 2,072$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.34 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 48c | 2,065$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Celtics | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed Rockets | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Rockets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rockets | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Rockets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…952cbacked Rockets | 45c | 1,899$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…0139backed Celtics | 55c | 1,899$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockets | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Celtics | 54c | 1,631$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.48 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 47c | 1,572$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets | 54c | 1,556$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.24 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Celtics | 50c | 1,500$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 39c | 1,469$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Rockets | 54c | 1,429$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Rockets | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 49c | 1,226$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.41 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Celtics | 47c | 1,212$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.33 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Celtics | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Rockets | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Rockets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Celtics | 50c | 940$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.53 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Celtics | 44c | 838.64$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.64 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Rockets | 45c | 823.88$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.25 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Rockets | 47c | 793.55$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.97 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Rockets | 46c | 757.13$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.28 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics | 59c | 682.03$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.04 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Rockets | 46c | 655.16$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.18 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rockets | 45c | 602.44$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.1 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Celtics | 52c | 600$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.87 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Celtics | 55c | 580.19$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.19 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Rockets | 54c | 557$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Celtics | 54c | 550.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 48c | 548.83$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.97 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Celtics | 49c | 544.28$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.68 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rockets | 56c | 511$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.16 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Celtics | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Celtics | 44c | 457.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Rockets | 44c | 454.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Celtics | 56c | 392.86$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.86 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Rockets | 54c | 367$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Rockets | 53c | 366.39$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Rockets | 45c | 306.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Rockets | 52c | 281.22$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Rockets | 46c | 264.63$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…b0febacked Rockets | 43c | 262.28$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rockets | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…7dc4backed Rockets | 56c | 244.7$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 50c | 236.55$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.16 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Celtics | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Rockets | 53c | 204.26$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Rockets | 55c | 201.82$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…9e2fbacked Celtics | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Celtics | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 168 | 53%89 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 48c | 162.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Celtics | 49c | 161$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Celtics | 52c | 157.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 53c | 155.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Rockets | 52c | 144.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Rockets | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Celtics | 47c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 47c | 113.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Rockets | 54c | 111.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Celtics | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Celtics | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Celtics | 74c | 108.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Celtics | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Celtics | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Celtics won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Celtics vs. RocketsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.