NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab592ad453b085c7240caeddeceddfd40cd7ea7cef44b568f080b8d0314ff400
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 57c | 16,667$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,166.67 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 13,829$6,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,026.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…2c83backed Under | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…ca10backed Over | 53c | 2,383$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…8389backed Over | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…4493backed Under | 47c | 2,019$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Over | 53c | 1,999$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.55 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83f…3696backed Over | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 43c | 1,739$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.7 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 1,350$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 47c | 999.99$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 54c | 862$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 651.15$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.16 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 570.39$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 56c | 566.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.47 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 45c | 445.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 315.57$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 44c | 308.73$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd9…f849backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 47c | 277.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 46c | 261$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.88 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 260.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 54c | 217$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…04f4backed Over | 43c | 211.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 53c | 187.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 54c | 155.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 45c | 141$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 16c | 122.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 38c | 115.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01bd…8357backed Over | 52c | 63.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Over | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 46c | 53.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 55c | 52.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 53c | 41.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 53c | 38.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 38.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 47c | 36.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 30.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Under | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 56c | 28.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 54c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 61c | 26.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 55c | 25.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 54c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 56c | 24.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…575cbacked Over | 47c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Celtics won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Celtics vs. RocketsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.