NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb375f98713d5f2da5b8b8178327267dada5a8ebffe94ff0667b311f4d56300db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Rockets, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 49c | 22,336$10,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,954.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Celtics | 55c | 22,264$12,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,018.95 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Rockets | 51c | 9,198$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.93 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 48c | 6,098$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.62 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Rockets | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.97 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Celtics | 50c | 3,288$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 52c | 2,977$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed Celtics | 52c | 2,916$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 45c | 2,890$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Rockets | 50c | 2,788$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 48c | 2,771$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 50c | 2,282$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.76 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 48c | 2,157$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Celtics | 52c | 1,907$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.86 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockets | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.9 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Celtics | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Rockets | 46c | 1,332$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.9 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 46c | 1,214$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Celtics | 52c | 1,200$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.45 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics | 42c | 1,161$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.14 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 43c | 1,084$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Celtics | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Rockets | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Celtics | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Rockets | 58c | 897.87$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…4493backed Rockets | 46c | 878.26$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…2964backed Celtics | 44c | 651.7$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.95 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Celtics | 51c | 624.27$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.27 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Rockets | 59c | 620.35$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.89 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Celtics | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.56 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 42c | 545.85$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.67 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 53c | 477$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.81 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Rockets | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…483dbacked Celtics | 52c | 423.21$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.21 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Rockets | 47c | 422$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.34 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Rockets | 48c | 417.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Rockets | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Rockets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Celtics | 42c | 372.85$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.25 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 44c | 363.89$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Rockets | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Celtics | 47c | 340.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.05 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Rockets | 50c | 316.42$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.21 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Rockets | 47c | 313$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…299bbacked Rockets | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Rockets | 49c | 295.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Celtics | 50c | 269.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.37 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Celtics | 48c | 256.58$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Celtics | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Celtics | 43c | 238.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.17 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Rockets | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Rockets | 46c | 219.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockets | 46c | 209.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Celtics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked Celtics | 51c | 197.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Rockets | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Rockets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Celtics | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 46c | 124.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets | 47c | 119$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Celtics | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Celtics | 43c | 113$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…ef9abacked Celtics | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -10.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Celtics | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Celtics | 50c | 95.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Rockets | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 44c | 76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rockets | 47c | 70.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Celtics | 52c | 67.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Rockets | 50c | 62.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6686backed Rockets | 58c | 60.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Rockets | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Rockets | 51c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Celtics | 43c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Rockets | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Celtics | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Celtics | 48c | 49.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Celtics | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Rockets | 47c | 47.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Celtics | 44c | 45.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Rockets | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…1427backed Rockets | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Rockets | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78c…1961backed Rockets | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Celtics | 42c | 42.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…4c95backed Rockets | 47c | 42.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Celtics | 44c | 41.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…5038backed Rockets | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…7dc4backed Rockets | 51c | 39.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Rockets | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…71c2backed Rockets | 57c | 38.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Celtics | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Celtics | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Celtics | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Rockets | 45c | 36.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Celtics | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cd…f2c7backed Rockets | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Celtics | 44c | 33.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Celtics won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Celtics vs. RocketsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.