TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under52c50,000$26,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,831.9411656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Over49c18,003$8,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,75076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c15,656$7,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,457.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c13,002$6,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,193.843,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under53c8,373$4,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,935.3529055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over47c5,685$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,67270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ea…8cfdbacked Under54c5,074$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6273…2c03backed Under49c3,858$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b26…3c56backed Under49c3,854$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e5…cbe5backed Under49c3,780$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x967f…2426backed Under49c3,756$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10fb…2563backed Over51c3,752$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b1…ee53backed Under49c3,752$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbae6…1ea8backed Over51c3,744$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa37b…df3fbacked Over51c3,744$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c58…f446backed Over51c3,741$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6369…0df5backed Under49c3,712$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3189…6b5bbacked Under49c3,658$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce93…9a7bbacked Over51c3,655$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.05977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+55.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x246f…6251backed Over51c3,575$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3409…0102backed Under49c3,544$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c75…1d9fbacked Over51c3,534$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x710f…45a7backed Over51c3,524$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a8e…567bbacked Under49c3,522$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75c…7284backed Under49c3,522$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0cb…4b65backed Over51c3,522$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c94…e775backed Under49c3,521$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc267…331bbacked Over51c3,512$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf17…aa5ebacked Under49c3,511$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c3,481$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d6…0120backed Under48c3,466$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5fd…c500backed Over51c3,452$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x026c…c27cbacked Over51c3,412$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe69…d5e5backed Over51c3,411$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0042…4000backed Over51c3,351$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbcb…4467backed Over51c3,321$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea53…422bbacked Under49c3,312$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…1ca0backed Under49c3,304$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11aa…0009backed Over51c3,252$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69c2…d98bbacked Over51c3,252$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ebe…b02dbacked Under48c3,175$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd900…bdadbacked Under49c3,152$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x151d…0af5backed Under49c3,142$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e3…79bdbacked Under49c3,142$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62a…3249backed Under49c3,125$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cb…1b73backed Over51c3,125$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…16babacked Under49c3,125$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0a…53b1backed Under49c3,125$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb34…b39abacked Over51c3,125$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb023…9d42backed Under49c3,125$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1271…ec3fbacked Under49c3,123$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf28…b5edbacked Over51c3,122$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a38…a3afbacked Over51c3,098$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3fc…7d3abacked Over51c3,078$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ab…7a92backed Over51c3,054$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d2b…3f25backed Under49c3,045$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ec…7843backed Over51c3,032$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72e5…2565backed Over51c3,025$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb070…12b2backed Under49c3,021$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59c5…276fbacked Over51c3,021$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd847…147fbacked Under49c3,015$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x027c…a752backed Under49c3,011$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f6…7982backed Under49c3,002$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf750…2cb5backed Over51c2,985$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1f…7faebacked Under49c2,985$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7bc…18aabacked Under49c2,965$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e61…841bbacked Over51c2,963$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9acf…fef1backed Under49c2,962$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bea…6bacbacked Over51c2,960$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d2f…393cbacked Under49c2,952$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5881…0acabacked Over51c2,932$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa29e…6cedbacked Under48c2,913$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a71…aa16backed Over51c2,912$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf32…5444backed Over51c2,743$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a2…1d37backed Under48c2,699$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbe4…0cacbacked Over52c2,336$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b6…da98backed Under49c2,306$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc80e…2400backed Over46c2,074$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c1,781$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.795,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fab…0bd2backed Over52c1,723$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2b…17f0backed Over46c1,600$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d7…4c8ebacked Over52c1,525$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over48c1,523$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.9222643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f81…e16dbacked Over52c1,433$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…8c95backed Over52c1,421$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x31d6…5933backed Over52c1,404$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e83…8e20backed Over46c1,400$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcac4…aa3dbacked Under49c1,352$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…8c05backed Over52c1,209$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebbd…cbacbacked Over52c1,202$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfef5…ddb0backed Over51c1,121$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over47c1,087$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.9315147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdbc…5a2dbacked Over51c1,067$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over40c1,065$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.5721443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69cf…6d14backed Under49c1,011$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9940947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over48c952.58$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.1928147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x750b…3220backed Under49c836$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c800$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.333,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.