NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3f9e71a577ad82eef252007365b24ea33872e4967dc8a1d0ee0af5e9922f8c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Rockets, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 53c | 23,131$12,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250.67 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Celtics | 47c | 12,827$6,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,798.29 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets | 49c | 10,452$5,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,121.69 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Rockets | 53c | 6,500$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 51c | 5,976$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.24 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Celtics | 47c | 5,700$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Rockets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Celtics | 48c | 3,908$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.72 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Celtics | 47c | 3,169$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.71 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Celtics | 47c | 3,150$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Celtics | 47c | 2,935$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.09 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Celtics | 51c | 2,792$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.16 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 52c | 2,690$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.04 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Rockets | 54c | 2,037$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 46c | 1,965$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.03 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 50c | 1,496$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.84 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Celtics | 47c | 1,089$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.03 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Celtics | 48c | 1,045$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.45 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Rockets | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 50c | 811.44$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Celtics | 47c | 490$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rockets | 52c | 479$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.08 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 48c | 399.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.94 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Rockets | 52c | 377.33$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.21 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 49c | 361.49$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Rockets | 54c | 353.7$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Rockets | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Celtics | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Rockets | 53c | 196.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Celtics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Celtics | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 51c | 182$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Celtics | 48c | 161.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets | 53c | 158.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…7dc4backed Rockets | 54c | 156.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Celtics | 47c | 140.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics | 57c | 132.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Celtics | 49c | 122.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 43c | 102.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Celtics | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Celtics | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7394…07c6backed Celtics | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Celtics | 51c | 80.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Celtics | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Celtics | 47c | 63.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Rockets | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Celtics | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Celtics | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Rockets | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Rockets | 54c | 45.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Celtics | 50c | 44.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…de73backed Celtics | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Celtics | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Celtics | 51c | 38.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45f3…2788backed Rockets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Rockets | 53c | 33.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Rockets | 53c | 33.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…89edbacked Celtics | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Rockets | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Rockets | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 51c | 26.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Celtics | 59c | 25.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Celtics | 47c | 23.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Celtics | 50c | 23.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Rockets | 54c | 22.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Celtics | 47c | 21.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Celtics | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Celtics | 50c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Rockets | 53c | 20.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Rockets | 53c | 20.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Celtics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Celtics won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Celtics vs. RocketsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 211.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.