MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cef61f0dfa0be8aab7b4a22b204ebf25ec6ff96f3f33c8314878e279755b493
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 108,606$55,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,602.45 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Under | 50c | 52,760$26,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,507.28 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 32,070$15,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,693.17 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 55c | 21,467$11,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,777.42 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 50c | 10,592$5,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,296 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 45c | 10,562$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,808.92 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 50c | 10,200$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,450 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 8,263$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,102.74 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 50c | 7,035$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.5 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.99 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 52c | 5,979$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.97 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 52c | 5,119$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.87 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 46c | 4,019$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.33 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 3,819$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.08 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Over | 50c | 3,690$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 50c | 3,576$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 64c | 3,435$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.83 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 3,302$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.31 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 3,251$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.41 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 3,214$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.83 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 3,188$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.78 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 3,014$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.03 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 50c | 2,914$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.01 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 50c | 2,914$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.01 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Over | 49c | 2,407$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.43 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 31c | 2,223$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.14 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 45c | 1,853$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.22 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 50c | 1,457$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.5 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…864bbacked Over | 49c | 1,452$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 45c | 1,380$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.23 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 1,340$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 875 | 52.7%461 W · 414 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.48 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 46c | 1,054$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.91 | 325 | 52.9%172 W · 153 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.76 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 994.8$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.45 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 50c | 972.04$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.02 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 939.92$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.87 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 49c | 873$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.77 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 60c | 822$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.8 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under | 50c | 798.08$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.04 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +9.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 782.19$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.19 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 57c | 740.36$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.82 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Over | 29c | 650$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.59 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Under | 46c | 625$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Over | 50c | 585.36$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.68 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Over | 50c | 582.8$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 47c | 505.45$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.54 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 75c | 487.92$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 36c | 455$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.46 | 532 | 38.5%205 W · 327 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 62c | 444.31$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.36 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 47c | 402.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 448 | 45.8%205 W · 243 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 393$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 64c | 355$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.91 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 336.41$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Under | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Under | 66c | 303.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 45c | 298.22$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.57 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Over | 52c | 296$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 51c | 294.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.43 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 51c | 276$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 45c | 274.16$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 25c | 217.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Under | 46c | 212.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Under | 46c | 208.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Under | 46c | 208.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Under | 46c | 208.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 47c | 163.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 53c | 159.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 12c | 158.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…1becbacked Over | 17c | 158.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 45c | 138.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 60c | 135$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 53c | 134$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 21c | 133.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 47c | 131.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 11c | 130.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under | 59c | 127.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 31c | 127.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-5.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-6.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.