TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,126 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over50c142,728$71,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,625.381,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under50c119,772$60,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,090.585645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over49c29,119$14,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,850.5750153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under51c14,534$7,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,375.193,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under57c11,897$6,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,775.234,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under52c10,695$5,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,590.271,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over44c9,583$4,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,401.794,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under54c8,126$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed Under51c7,911$4,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,034.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under57c6,747$3,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,815.482,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under56c6,609$3,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,684.531,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c5,407$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,773.3411,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under50c4,204$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.1745252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over45c3,947$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.12,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c3,049$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.6810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over43c2,380$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.236,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Under50c2,343$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.1745445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over45c2,224$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.441,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00049158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Under52c1,946$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.6873949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under52c1,946$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.6879255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c1,632$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.056,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over44c1,355$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.922,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec95…a2dcbacked Under52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under54c1,085$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.968053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over43c1,068$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60965549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under52c934.9$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.151,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under53c925.6$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.978,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd2…14c2backed Over45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4956246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over46c680.18$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.7258352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c620.75$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.922,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Over44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33628753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Under52c560.94$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.6911751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under51c557.12$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.721,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28027952%145 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over44c499.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over44c499.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9970744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under51c418.71$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.548045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22423758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over43c396.48$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3222050.5%111 W · 109 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under50c396.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over45c379.77$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.381,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c372.94$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c372.93$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.939,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over43c276$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3254642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over43c271$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1245045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under56c245$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.244949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Under56c223.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12528152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Over49c217$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6727348%131 W · 142 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Under51c206$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.069446.8%44 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under55c205.02$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4730548.9%149 W · 156 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10423052.6%121 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,16749%572 W · 595 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked Over50c196.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.044042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Over43c184.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9828553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe66f…0f3ebacked Over43c183.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.644355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b25…edc5backed Under58c172.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007846.2%36 W · 42 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over44c165.4$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.411550.4%58 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over44c161.36$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3615153%80 W · 71 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under51c160$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.131,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.573653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over46c144.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.311,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over68c140.88$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.072,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Under56c136.74$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5746444.4%206 W · 258 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over45c133$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.151,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over46c128.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1240447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Under54c115.42$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1334149.3%168 W · 173 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over69c106.49$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.171,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over45c106.06$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.972,94447.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L+4.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Under34c104.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9917548%84 W · 91 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5777050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3e…637cbacked Under50c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505962.7%37 W · 22 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x02b5…2ff8backed Under51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.984833.3%16 W · 32 L-7.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Under51c96.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.293751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Under56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.45749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa845…6b8fbacked Under57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508351.8%43 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea5…26e3backed Under58c86.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019454.6%106 W · 88 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…9351backed Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Over45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8e…568abacked Under51c72.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.82837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over65c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.278,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under56c62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.727339.7%29 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…f3a4backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c96…0a39backed Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021954.8%120 W · 99 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Over44c50.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1712154.5%66 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,80353.8%970 W · 833 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Over43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.56852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under51c48.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6242448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over44c44.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8267453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0477…631cbacked Under57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517155.6%95 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…bf33backed Under57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0650…3457backed Under57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9412…730ebacked Under57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257254.2%39 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.112853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Over46c41.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.763847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.