MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2896742acb1fdba5672f267b2026375d96e936ce132002395d93ddc9cef9a273
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 50c | 142,728$71,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,625.38 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 50c | 119,772$60,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,090.5 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 49c | 29,119$14,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,850.57 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 14,534$7,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,375.19 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 11,897$6,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,775.23 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 52c | 10,695$5,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,590.27 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 9,583$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,401.79 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 54c | 8,126$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Under | 51c | 7,911$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 57c | 6,747$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.48 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 56c | 6,609$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.53 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 5,407$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.34 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 50c | 4,204$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.17 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 3,947$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.1 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 3,049$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 2,380$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.23 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 50c | 2,343$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.17 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 45c | 2,224$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.44 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 52c | 1,946$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.68 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 52c | 1,946$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.68 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 1,632$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.05 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 44c | 1,355$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.92 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Under | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.9 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 43c | 1,068$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 52c | 934.9$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.15 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 925.6$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Over | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 46c | 680.18$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.72 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 620.75$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.92 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 52c | 560.94$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.69 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 51c | 557.12$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.72 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 51c | 418.71$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 43c | 396.48$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.32 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 50c | 396.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 45c | 379.77$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 372.94$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 372.93$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 43c | 276$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 43c | 271$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 56c | 245$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 49c | 217$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Under | 51c | 206$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 55c | 205.02$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Over | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 43c | 184.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Over | 43c | 183.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Under | 58c | 172.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 44c | 165.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 44c | 161.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 46c | 144.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 68c | 140.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 56c | 136.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 133$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 46c | 128.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 54c | 115.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 69c | 106.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 106.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Under | 34c | 104.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Under | 50c | 99.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 51c | 96.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Under | 58c | 86.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…568abacked Under | 51c | 72.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 56c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Over | 44c | 50.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 51c | 48.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 44c | 44.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…bf33backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…3457backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Over | 46c | 41.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee BrewersSeattle Mariners won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.