MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x586c7461bb805fa3d5772e382527a278312dd46a6eafe190bb35426e159970b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $675,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $489,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 165,626$77,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,781.92 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 132,075$70,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 70,000$32,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,100 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 57,583$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 50,943$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,999.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab3…64afbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 50,444$23,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,239.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 45,867$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.7 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 31,540$16,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,471.81 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 25,926$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 22,807$5,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,685.06 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 16c | 20,198$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 9c | 19,816$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.41 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 16,867$8,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,701.65 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 9c | 9,562$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.71 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 10c | 7,599$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.08 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Milwaukee Brewers | 8c | 7,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 6,732$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 19c | 6,494$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.06 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 6,364$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.35 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 6,111$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Milwaukee Brewers | 21c | 5,388$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.18 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Milwaukee Brewers | 13c | 5,072$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.34 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Milwaukee Brewers | 6c | 4,064$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.43 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 3,789$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.24 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 3,038$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.66 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 3,029$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 2,777$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.11 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 13c | 2,673$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.27 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 2,617$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.83 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 2,113$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.89 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 2,065$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.3 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Milwaukee Brewers | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 1,682$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 1,564$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,419$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.21 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…396abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +354.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.07 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Milwaukee Brewers | 17c | 1,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…b081backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 999.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 927$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.58 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa9…c178backed Milwaukee Brewers | 21c | 924.53$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.42 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 11c | 896.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Milwaukee Brewers | 21c | 888$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 883.66$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 22c | 874.73$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Milwaukee Brewers | 6c | 766.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 12c | 734$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Milwaukee Brewers | 19c | 709.05$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 654.74$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 6c | 600.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 17c | 591.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 508$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.76 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 20c | 484.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Milwaukee Brewers | 19c | 483.42$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 476.93$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.48 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 13c | 463.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 446.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.9 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Milwaukee Brewers | 22c | 440.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb489…251cbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…f398backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 400.31$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 24c | 383.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 16c | 377.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 16c | 361.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 80c | 349$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Seattle Mariners | 75c | 335$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 305.3$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.86 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 6c | 303$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Milwaukee Brewers | 22c | 299$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 469 | 49.9%234 W · 235 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…0bffbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 5c | 290.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 12c | 282.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 279$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.66 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 277.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 77c | 273.89$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 269.63$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 12c | 257.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…33c9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.