TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e96…33c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$74.94
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$50.74
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.86
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$35.23
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$47.56
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.68
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$87.11
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$30.85
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.32
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.62
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+264.5%+$66.13
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.18
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$37.37
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+159.4%+$61.84
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.15
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Sean Cueninbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.