TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Pittsburgh Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,610 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers63c2,868$1,807 inWon+$1,061.632,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates43c1,170$506 inLost-$505.7611,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers60c874.06$526 inWon+$347.810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c644.24$302 inLost-$302.438,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates33c516$171 inLost-$171.214,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0926…6721backed Pittsburgh Pirates46c500$230 inLost-$229.952133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Pittsburgh Pirates32c452.03$144 inLost-$143.591,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Pittsburgh Pirates22c344$77 inLost-$76.991,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pittsburgh Pirates67c205.53$138 inLost-$137.881,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers30c183.36$55 inWon+$128.353,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb489…251cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates31c145.16$45 inLost-$451546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Detroit Tigers57c99.99$57 inWon+$43.2858746%270 W · 317 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06fa…d071backed Pittsburgh Pirates50c41.14$21 inLost-$20.637742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e96…33c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates32c40$13 inLost-$12.83826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates71c26$18 inLost-$18.462,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.