TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Pittsburgh Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,968 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers38c2,631$1,000 inWon+$1,631.2271650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers65c2,051$1,343 inWon+$708.1712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates18c1,460$263 inLost-$262.88,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates63c1,405$885 inLost-$885.1910465.4%68 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates62c922.2$572 inLost-$571.761,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Pittsburgh Pirates62c800$496 inLost-$4966866.2%45 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers37c749.98$277 inWon+$472.4911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Pittsburgh Pirates19c510.93$95 inLost-$95.351,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates62c496.39$307 inLost-$307.026,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates9c453$43 inLost-$42.64,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates35c386.01$134 inLost-$133.712,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Pittsburgh Pirates9c270.82$25 inLost-$25.22,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates25c124.04$31 inLost-$31.018,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Detroit Tigers39c117.07$46 inWon+$71.415453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Pittsburgh Pirates17c81$14 inLost-$13.5812924.8%32 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Pittsburgh Pirates19c57.47$11 inLost-$10.925759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Detroit Tigers38c52.63$20 inWon+$32.6328553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Detroit Tigers39c52.62$21 inWon+$32.128751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Pittsburgh Pirates62c49.54$31 inLost-$30.5834149.3%168 W · 173 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates64c27.25$17 inLost-$17.4438053.2%202 W · 178 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Detroit Tigers79c19.5$15 inWon+$4.1540048.5%194 W · 206 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Detroit Tigers67c19$13 inWon+$6.2726857.1%153 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acf…08a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates62c16.23$10 inLost-$10.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.