CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: shoke Club vs Perfecto Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ee964e6f1cbb2d35f1aadbf909f05c86e2ad21b31007653a80d8d3cd425d06d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perfecto Clubof shoke Club, Perfecto Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9746…5900backed Perfecto Club | 79c | 593.6$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 71cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2817…62dfbacked Perfecto Club | 73c | 334.48$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Perfecto Club | 62c | 304.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed shoke Club | 34c | 280.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…8118backed shoke Club | 52c | 222.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked shoke Club | 43c | 181.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed shoke Club | 24c | 163$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked shoke Club | 37c | 147.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…ff63backed shoke Club | 34c | 145.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Perfecto Club | 49c | 114.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed shoke Club | 48c | 98.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Perfecto Club | 52c | 97.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28c…0042backed Perfecto Club | 55c | 90.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked shoke Club | 27c | 89.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed shoke Club | 25c | 88.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked shoke Club | 35c | 86.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed shoke Club | 30c | 86.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed shoke Club | 38c | 72.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked shoke Club | 54c | 69.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked shoke Club | 29c | 69.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…33c9backed Perfecto Club | 48c | 62.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked shoke Club | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Perfecto Club | 71c | 57.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked shoke Club | 53c | 52.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed shoke Club | 31c | 50.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Perfecto Club | 47c | 50.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed shoke Club | 45c | 49.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked shoke Club | 50c | 49.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…0592backed shoke Club | 25c | 47.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Perfecto Club | 57c | 47.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed shoke Club | 26c | 44.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce41…c2c2backed Perfecto Club | 75c | 40.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa691…7851backed shoke Club | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked shoke Club | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked Perfecto Club | 59c | 37.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed shoke Club | 51c | 37.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…26cbbacked Perfecto Club | 62c | 30.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed Perfecto Club | 59c | 26.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Perfecto Club | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3241…cca8backed Perfecto Club | 55c | 21.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: shoke Club vs Perfecto Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: shoke Club vs Perfecto Club - Map 1 WinnerPerfecto Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.