MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c367cf2a618d06d3685e664aacde63e2c097fba0c1d15973b3555a5cfdeab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $508,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 59,199$16,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,158.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 53,512$22,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,880.2 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 51,843$30,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,550.65 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Boston Red Sox | 73c | 47,084$34,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,330.51 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…7a06backed Boston Red Sox | 18c | 18,889$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Boston Red Sox | 79c | 18,744$14,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,719.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 14,099$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,463.59 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 12,928$8,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,243.97 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 12,500$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 11,966$6,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,512.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 11,789$5,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,625.15 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…e03cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 77c | 11,075$8,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 18c | 10,314$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,457.62 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…bf3abacked Boston Red Sox | 79c | 9,375$7,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,406.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 9,040$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,326.17 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 8,991$5,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,566.47 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 8,464$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.39 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…b554backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 8,150$5,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,945.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 6,713$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.6 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 5,663$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.51 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 5,153$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.69 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…8bddbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 4,191$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 3,980$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 3,522$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.33 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…442fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 3,438$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 3,260$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.67 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 3,096$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.29 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,661$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.88 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,350$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.64 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,189$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,087$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.07 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,076$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.33 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,066$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.47 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,048$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.28 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 2,039$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,014$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.44 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,887$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.79 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,829$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.27 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 1,798$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.74 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,542$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.4 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,496$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.6 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,441$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.57 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 1,437$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.28 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,435$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.35 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,349$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.06 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,233$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,210$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.65 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,185$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.14 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,125$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.7 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,111$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.49 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 1,087$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.59 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,086$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.61 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,013$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.46 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,010$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.9 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 993.22$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 986.57$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.7 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…2a14backed Boston Red Sox | 4c | 966.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 940.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 929.19$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.21 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 899.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…f175backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 899.94$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 890$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 75c | 850.35$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.56 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 810.67$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.85 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 807.26$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.59 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 761.08$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.82 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Boston Red Sox | 25c | 754.42$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.97 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 722.4$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.52 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 699$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.41 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 648.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.2 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…102abacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 645.91$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 638.29$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.68 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 626.1$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.92 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 604.46$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.27 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 597.06$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.55 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 586.21$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.36 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb489…251cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 585.37$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 555.05$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 548.31$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.16 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 531.94$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.25 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Boston Red Sox | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 508.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.17 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 501.6$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.94 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 77c | 500$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…b081backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…f398backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 488.29$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 482.44$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.69 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.