MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x787ed41671f6bc115c71edd422eb9963e1e5b24a79d0420134101b02218891f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Boston Red Sox, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 29,586$21,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,718.64 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 17,918$7,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,521.75 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 17c | 10,919$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.65 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 7,050$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 5,397$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.34 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 3,841$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.22 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 37c | 2,516$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.45 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 2,315$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 23c | 1,699$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,266$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,198$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.23 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,125$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 867.2$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.22 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 789.23$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.48 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 25c | 759$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.05 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 672$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.36 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 613$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 542.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.33 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 523.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.26 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 481.67$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.67 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 21c | 477.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 411.58$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Boston Red Sox | 19c | 410$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 405.77$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 351.14$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 348.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 298.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 259.95$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 9c | 236.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 205.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 202$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 188$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Boston Red Sox | 12c | 177.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 169.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 162.65$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 144.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 133$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 128.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 123.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 120.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 100.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 88.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 76.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 69.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 67.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 62.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 60.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 59.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 58.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 54.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 51.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 51.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…fb37backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 43.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 42.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 42.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 40.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 40.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…22c9backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 32.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 30.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 30.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 30.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 28.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 26.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…8be3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red SoxArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.