MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c1db8df1aa55e92c4bf462b11ace78e0ef682369ca740ed2b6e6c067adb9f8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 272,765$148,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148,620.81 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 46c | 219,399$100,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,387 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 46c | 23,557$10,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,720.89 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 45c | 22,254$10,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,239.7 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 10,884$4,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,986.44 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 56c | 10,639$5,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,957.95 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 9,832$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.67 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Over | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.98 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 46c | 6,678$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.95 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 6,540$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 48c | 4,567$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.53 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 3,506$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.88 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Under | 54c | 2,727$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.73 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 48c | 2,415$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.99 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 2,280$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 53c | 2,148$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.43 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 2,101$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.13 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Under | 56c | 1,827$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.38 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 47c | 1,685$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.05 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 1,685$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.65 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Under | 54c | 1,556$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 47c | 1,232$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.96 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 45c | 1,159$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.04 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 45c | 1,113$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.99 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Under | 41c | 1,031$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.36 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Under | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Under | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 47c | 851$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.03 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 54c | 764.96$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.51 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 54c | 738.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.06 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 51c | 612.24$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.24 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.61 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 499.25$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 53c | 470.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 46c | 458$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.32 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 45c | 454.47$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.96 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 49c | 406.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.07 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 47c | 402.04$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.08 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed Under | 64c | 386.11$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.58 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 379$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.45 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 378.15$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.01 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 45c | 372.93$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.11 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Under | 55c | 315$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.01 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 299.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.14 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 62c | 244.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 234.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 46c | 216.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.09 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Over | 47c | 208.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 46c | 196.23$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Over | 47c | 191.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 51c | 179.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 45c | 178.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6c…f76bbacked Under | 56c | 165.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 138$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 53c | 132.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 35c | 127.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 119.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 112.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Under | 52c | 104.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 57c | 102.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Over | 45c | 96.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 55c | 90.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 53c | 88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 41c | 85.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 35c | 76.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Under | 56c | 73.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Over | 45c | 66.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Under | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red SoxArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.