MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fa7310a657aedfbbc22d3a3be7d639f4d2330bd44fa4bf5995fe783eb51d261

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
Resolved: Aug 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $477,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $498,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $477,669 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees	49c	71,964$34,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,017.5	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Baltimore Orioles	53c	67,925$36,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,000	260	56.9%148 W · 112 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	35,668$16,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,632.45	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles	35c	34,569$12,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,171.08	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees	58c	19,475$11,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,170.66	232	55.6%129 W · 103 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles	26c	14,168$3,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,729.68	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees	58c	11,488$6,663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,825.06	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees	55c	9,152$5,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,074.17	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e38…fd47backed New York Yankees	76c	7,655$5,790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,864.72	19	84.2%16 W · 3 L	+3.2wins	+0.17per pick	68cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	7,500$3,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,675	489	52.8%258 W · 231 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	6,604$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	156	59%92 W · 64 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles	40c	6,118$2,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,452.67	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked New York Yankees	45c	6,000$2,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,330	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed New York Yankees	51c	5,882$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,882.35	233	57.9%135 W · 98 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb035…ff78backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	5,680$2,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,840	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	46cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	5,617$2,739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,738.98	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed New York Yankees	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	154	47.4%73 W · 81 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	4,952$2,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,448.75	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5674…2ff4backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	4,717$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.99	127	59.8%76 W · 51 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f2…7449backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	4,717$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.99	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4861…3aaebacked Baltimore Orioles	53c	4,245$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	127	59.1%75 W · 52 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd759…6d1abacked New York Yankees	59c	4,237$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,737.29	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	4,128$2,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.85	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked New York Yankees	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked New York Yankees	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	96	39.6%38 W · 58 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	3,644$1,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,749.04	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles	16c	2,995$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.2	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0fd…8bddbacked New York Yankees	51c	2,844$1,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,393.72	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles	43c	2,779$1,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,187.38	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed New York Yankees	49c	2,762$1,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,408.78	127	59.1%75 W · 52 L	+9.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed New York Yankees	45c	2,460$1,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.93	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafee…881ebacked New York Yankees	46c	2,359$1,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,273.91	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Baltimore Orioles	30c	2,283$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.4	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees	51c	2,196$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,076.04	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed New York Yankees	51c	2,083$1,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.83	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked New York Yankees	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed New York Yankees	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Yankees	52c	1,982$1,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$951.36	694	53.6%372 W · 322 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked Baltimore Orioles	50c	1,958$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.8	148	41.2%61 W · 87 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed New York Yankees	51c	1,947$993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$953.89	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	1,633$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.16	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	1,587$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$761.59	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e4…a1adbacked New York Yankees	57c	1,500$855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.25	132	64.4%85 W · 47 L	+9.3wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed New York Yankees	48c	1,442$693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.01	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	1,380$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.01	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed New York Yankees	48c	1,336$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.37	158	51.9%82 W · 76 L	-12.5wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	1,280$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.28	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x568d…9a05backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	1,240$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.6	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Baltimore Orioles	9c	1,225$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.11	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc466…3f77backed Baltimore Orioles	44c	1,154$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.82	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed New York Yankees	51c	1,100$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539	210	52.9%111 W · 99 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees	51c	1,058$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.24	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	1,015$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.48	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked New York Yankees	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	143	58%83 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04b2…14c2backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	971.78$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.89	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe372…2d51backed New York Yankees	51c	969.04$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.83	86	61.6%53 W · 33 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa577…91e3backed New York Yankees	52c	961.54$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.54	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	959.86$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.73	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees	66c	902.41$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.5	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed New York Yankees	56c	900.02$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.2	473	58.4%276 W · 197 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked New York Yankees	52c	880.77$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.77	265	45.7%121 W · 144 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac8d…6f02backed New York Yankees	62c	806.45$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.45	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles	29c	784.02$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.67	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed New York Yankees	67c	746.34$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.34	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed New York Yankees	68c	730.76$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.84	873	52.7%460 W · 413 L	+9.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Baltimore Orioles	38c	720.8$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.25	349	52.7%184 W · 165 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3050…1a35backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	717.59$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.32	71	54.9%39 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Baltimore Orioles	11c	612.55$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.38	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked New York Yankees	43c	600$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342	122	45.9%56 W · 66 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7e…19b8backed New York Yankees	52c	558.77$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.21	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked New York Yankees	35c	553.02$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.46	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+6.0wins	+0.33per pick	22cpaid	+173.9%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	538.6$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.53	132	25%33 W · 99 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Yankees	63c	534.16$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.55	851	48.5%413 W · 438 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	510.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees	68c	500$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	1,865	52%970 W · 895 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked New York Yankees	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	138	48.6%67 W · 71 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed New York Yankees	51c	490.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.2	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed New York Yankees	50c	487.43$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.59	319	57.4%183 W · 136 L	+23.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees	68c	479.62$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.48	1,912	53%1,014 W · 898 L	+42.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf84d…8830backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	471.7$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed New York Yankees	47c	468.09$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.09	253	51.8%131 W · 122 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	458.24$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.96	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Baltimore Orioles	33c	443.76$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.42	603	48.6%293 W · 310 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked New York Yankees	52c	440$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.2	287	53.3%153 W · 134 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf824…ebe3backed New York Yankees	51c	435.33$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.31	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…2b75backed New York Yankees	51c	432.5$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.92	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	422$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211	137	43.8%60 W · 77 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked New York Yankees	48c	410$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.2	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	400$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.08	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e55…a332backed New York Yankees	51c	392.97$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.55	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked New York Yankees	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed New York Yankees	42c	390.71$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.95	90	36.7%33 W · 57 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Baltimore Orioles	41c	390.25$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.78	464	44.4%206 W · 258 L	-18.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked New York Yankees	52c	388.08$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.08	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+5.2wins	+0.19per pick	55cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Baltimore Orioles	33c	385.25$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.64	1,056	44.3%468 W · 588 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb43e…8200backed New York Yankees	52c	357.97$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.83	227	44.9%102 W · 125 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7100…c12abacked Baltimore Orioles	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	-9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Yankees	56c	354.79$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.49	1,205	58.8%708 W · 497 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed New York Yankees	67c	346.88$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.2	254	47.6%121 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dae…72febacked New York Yankees	51c	336.53$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.9	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event