MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbc90089e94b438a9f29b71e92c2dce1735ab0dec29b8e60a912b5ff2f928076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $569,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $790,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $569,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 222,220$113,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,298.77 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 48c | 208,333$99,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,956.03 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 48c | 77,917$37,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,400.26 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 20,813$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 52c | 12,633$6,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,063.66 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 11,188$5,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,257.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 53c | 11,111$5,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,222.17 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 6,404$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.84 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 3,472$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.46 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 52c | 3,113$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.36 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 52c | 3,113$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.36 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 54c | 1,690$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.56 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 16c | 1,652$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Under | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 71c | 1,094$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.26 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,009$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 52c | 935.62$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.1 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 52c | 934.9$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.75 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 769$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 651.28$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 625.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 57c | 591.33$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.35 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 591$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.51 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 52c | 560.94$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.25 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 500$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.22 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 22c | 497.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 461.54$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 37c | 345$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Under | 52c | 342.31$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 52c | 320.19$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 52c | 320.19$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34e…c973backed Under | 51c | 307$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.43 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 46c | 286.78$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.18 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Under | 55c | 272.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 48c | 195$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 52c | 184.31$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 184$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 166.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 8c | 150$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 37c | 149$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715a…a5d1backed Over | 71c | 140.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Under | 52c | 137.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 53c | 135.28$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 47c | 104.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed Over | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Under | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…ad4bbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…33c9backed Under | 50c | 95.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 62c | 75.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 49c | 70.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…79ddbacked Under | 52c | 63.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 55.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 54c | 51.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Over | 55c | 47.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Over | 33c | 45.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 42.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 52c | 41.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Under | 52c | 37.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 52c | 36.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 52c | 35.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…317bbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…f338backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9f…10cabacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 38c | 28.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…b228backed Under | 53c | 28.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 50c | 25.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 47c | 24.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 48c | 24.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 47c | 23.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…0eb4backed Under | 52c | 22.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…feb1backed Over | 49c | 20.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 54c | 19.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.