TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e88…317b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$13.13
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$7.83
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$3.48
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$14.84
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$30.32
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$16.41
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$10.18
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.45
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+155.5%+$60.61
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$17.82
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.8%+$6.35
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+53%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFirebacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+206%+$24.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debrubacked Gabriel Debru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$32.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.