MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c1431493040368dd64882d02d62a1c8001b005a7c801555d5cadfb64a05d459

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $268,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $279,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,742 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	45c	90,000$40,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,500	1,449	49.5%717 W · 732 L	-3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	55c	63,110$34,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,749.79	11,653	52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L	+214.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Over	44c	47,162$20,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,410.88	448	46.7%209 W · 239 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under	52c	25,475$13,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,247.05	901	49.1%442 W · 459 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under	55c	22,222$12,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,222.1	67	67.2%45 W · 22 L	+11.2wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Under	51c	15,030$7,665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,665.26	281	54.1%152 W · 129 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	50c	13,888$6,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,944	1,698	50.2%853 W · 845 L	-20.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	55c	13,499$7,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,424.57	816	47.4%387 W · 429 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over	45c	9,825$4,421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,403.82	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over	43c	8,377$3,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,774.89	908	46.5%422 W · 486 L	+27.6wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed Under	55c	7,777$4,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,277.35	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf499…b5d9backed Under	53c	7,603$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under	57c	7,500$4,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,275	510	52.5%268 W · 242 L	+15.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	48c	7,315$3,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,817.22	4,534	49%2,220 W · 2,314 L	-41.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	55c	7,300$4,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,034	483	48.4%234 W · 249 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over	45c	6,071$2,761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,310.35	492	45.9%226 W · 266 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	48c	5,838$2,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,035.5	6,132	55.4%3,395 W · 2,737 L	+346.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	55c	5,351$2,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,943.94	1,478	51%754 W · 724 L	-19.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	54c	3,159$1,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,714.78	3,562	51%1,817 W · 1,745 L	+55.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under	55c	2,647$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,455.69	513	53.8%276 W · 237 L	+10.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x746e…68cabacked Under	55c	2,500$1,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,375	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	54c	2,413$1,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,304.47	7,078	50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef7…0a2dbacked Under	55c	2,222$1,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,222.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	52c	2,062$1,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.12	8,682	52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L	+505.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	55c	1,950$1,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,077.37	1,697	49.1%834 W · 863 L	+3.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over	46c	1,576$721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$855.23	1,906	49.3%940 W · 966 L	+25.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	52c	1,487$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.59	4,427	47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L	-77.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over	46c	1,282$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.83	208	50%104 W · 104 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	48c	1,252$606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.58	3,139	48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L	-10.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under	55c	1,111$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.05	1,361	50.8%691 W · 670 L	+13.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	45c	1,091$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.94	2,327	51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L	+26.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	55c	1,090$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.18	5,567	50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L	+25.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	49c	992.26$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.73	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	47c	620.74$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.42	8,484	47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L	+79.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over	48c	546.97$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.43	217	50.7%110 W · 107 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	52c	509$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.32	4,120	57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L	+67.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under	54c	501$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.54	881	52.9%466 W · 415 L	+16.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under	52c	375.25$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.13	282	54.3%153 W · 129 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over	47c	371.82$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.06	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	50c	366.53$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.27	1,224	54%661 W · 563 L	+33.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	47c	348.56$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.94	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…e183backed Under	56c	317.86$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over	45c	300$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	243	49.4%120 W · 123 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	46c	299.99$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.49	999	47.5%475 W · 524 L	-3.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over	49c	285.92$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.82	419	48.4%203 W · 216 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	48c	229.18$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.17	3,866	42.3%1,636 W · 2,230 L	+4.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	49c	210.86$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.76	1,877	50.2%943 W · 934 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf58d…1fadbacked Under	50c	202$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over	47c	199.99$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.99	503	51.9%261 W · 242 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	49c	195.31$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.02	11,102	51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L	+135.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	55c	191$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.05	1,548	48.6%753 W · 795 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	123	56.1%69 W · 54 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under	51c	159.69$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	471	45.9%216 W · 255 L	+12.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under	55c	154.25$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.58	1,292	56.8%734 W · 558 L	+31.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Over	52c	150.95$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.46	533	57.6%307 W · 226 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	48c	140.75$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.19	2,372	49.7%1,179 W · 1,193 L	+40.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Under	48c	137$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.09	312	47.8%149 W · 163 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	47c	127$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.31	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	22c	111.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	5,861	43.7%2,562 W · 3,299 L	-190.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…1306backed Under	49c	108.16$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Under	49c	102$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Under	56c	98$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.48	364	51.4%187 W · 177 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Under	52c	94.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.37	229	49.8%114 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	32c	90.27$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.17	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Under	21c	87.37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.52	143	36.4%52 W · 91 L	-9.9wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over	45c	86$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.17	133	45.9%61 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over	48c	84$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.68	372	51.6%192 W · 180 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	17c	76$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	4,445	45%2,001 W · 2,444 L	+87.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	54c	74.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.72	3,036	48%1,458 W · 1,578 L	+16.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b2…79ddbacked Over	49c	62.45$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.85	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over	45c	58.49$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.2	338	46.7%158 W · 180 L	-12.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over	49c	58.41$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.01	604	34.3%207 W · 397 L	-23.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56b4…11adbacked Over	56c	57.99$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.52	171	48%82 W · 89 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x263c…6540backed Under	55c	55.78$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.68	148	48.6%72 W · 76 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6987…846bbacked Under	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over	48c	51.38$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.68	2,200	40.2%884 W · 1,316 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over	52c	50.9$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.43	1,267	58.5%741 W · 526 L	+26.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over	48c	47.91$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.91	1,745	49.1%857 W · 888 L	+8.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over	45c	46$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.3	181	45.3%82 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf7…c485backed Under	52c	44.23$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over	44c	41.79$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.4	620	52.7%327 W · 293 L	+31.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbcb…65fcbacked Over	52c	40.45$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.42	118	52.5%62 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	49c	40.06$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.43	1,222	50%611 W · 611 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under	44c	39.09$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	1,975	41.3%815 W · 1,160 L	-27.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	749	43.4%325 W · 424 L	-15.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Over	47c	37.49$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.87	170	42.9%73 W · 97 L	-11.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over	49c	35$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.85	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under	54c	33.46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	944	56.5%533 W · 411 L	+32.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over	51c	33.33$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.33	345	55.7%192 W · 153 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	49c	33.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.33	1,852	54%1,001 W · 851 L	+25.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e88…317bbacked Over	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+5.2wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xece7…3353backed Under	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Under	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	136	66.2%90 W · 46 L	+10.4wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d41…6a2ebacked Over	47c	26.65$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.08	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x472e…f338backed Under	57c	26.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Over	52c	25.44$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.21	462	58%268 W · 194 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
New York Mets vs. Cleveland GuardiansNew York Mets won
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 14.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 15.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 19.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event