MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78d1a02e5788f1fb0b915458c5e73984b83173353986cbaf53c5f9fbe1e0aa0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 50c | 66,666$33,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,333 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 19,283$9,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,641.54 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 18,456$9,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,315.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 15,951$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.44 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 15,949$8,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,625.06 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 6,450$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.5 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 61c | 6,120$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.96 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 5,400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 70c | 5,264$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.23 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 5,033$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.7 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed New York Mets | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.05 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 31c | 4,527$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.69 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934b…cc23backed New York Mets | 47c | 4,160$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed New York Mets | 46c | 4,113$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.77 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Mets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,249$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.71 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Mets | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 48c | 2,390$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,315$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Mets | 53c | 2,310$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.88 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 48c | 1,879$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.97 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 1,850$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.5 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,834$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.12 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,819$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.5 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,747$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.54 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked New York Mets | 46c | 1,685$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.78 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 1,600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 46c | 1,559$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.55 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked New York Mets | 48c | 1,427$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.9 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 50c | 1,358$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 1,281$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…9af1backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,260$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 1,121$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.79 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Mets | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed New York Mets | 57c | 999$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.57 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 982$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 925.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 925.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked New York Mets | 60c | 855.6$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.69 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked New York Mets | 76c | 808.43$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Mets | 73c | 759.06$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 719.99$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.19 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 62c | 698.78$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 694.41$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.39 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 653.36$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 47c | 653.15$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.52 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…4ccabacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 60c | 535.11$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.47 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 528.09$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked New York Mets | 80c | 527.51$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked New York Mets | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…69d8backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 476.74$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 455$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 449.56$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 425.44$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.74 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 64c | 400.27$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 395.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 376.39$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.67 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 334.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 314.34$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 50c | 261.13$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 251.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…14c3backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 249.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 230.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 230.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 224.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…8868backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 218$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed New York Mets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed New York Mets | 53c | 206$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 203.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed New York Mets | 49c | 201.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked New York Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8d1cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 56c | 197.72$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed New York Mets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed New York Mets | 79c | 195$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked New York Mets | 65c | 189.17$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked New York Mets | 66c | 187.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked New York Mets | 65c | 173$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 14.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 15.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 19.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.