NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c460f1e3cde7ef574ad8de0cd743d58951910bfbb4b4f4e3ec722817268155c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $376,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 52c | 132,388$68,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,715 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 122,881$58,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,982.89 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 52c | 58,075$30,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,879.14 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 45,193$23,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,171.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 49c | 25,973$12,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,726.85 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 46c | 22,386$10,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,088.44 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 21,499$11,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,609.41 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Over | 49c | 15,000$7,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,274.92 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 13,499$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,289.46 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 56c | 13,051$7,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,352.35 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 10,602$5,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,089.38 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 10,002$4,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.92 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 51c | 9,017$4,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,382.89 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 51c | 8,627$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.45 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…b0ffbacked Under | 52c | 8,620$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 51c | 7,255$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.9 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 51c | 7,083$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.06 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 51c | 6,814$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.73 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 51c | 5,813$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.23 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Under | 51c | 5,686$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.27 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 43c | 5,569$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.06 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 48c | 5,554$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.12 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 49c | 5,019$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.12 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 48c | 4,950$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 54c | 4,612$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.98 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 45c | 3,669$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.89 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…3794backed Under | 51c | 3,530$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 3,207$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.07 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 3,112$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 49c | 2,979$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.5 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 2,874$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 51c | 2,773$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.55 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 2,641$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.37 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 2,599$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 2,086$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.87 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 45c | 2,036$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.47 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 1,740$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.03 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 48c | 1,664$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.72 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.23 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.9 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 47c | 1,020$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.2 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…08a9backed Under | 49c | 990.38$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 47c | 949.36$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.66 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 52c | 870.38$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.78 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Under | 19c | 861.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.63 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Over | 48c | 705.25$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.52 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 48c | 650$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 613.1$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.68 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 10c | 603.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Over | 9c | 579.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Over | 4c | 525.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Under | 47c | 429.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.81 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…bd2abacked Over | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Under | 51c | 393.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.12 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 53c | 378.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 53c | 323.43$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 52c | 248.2$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 50c | 229.07$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Over | 54c | 226.83$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 65c | 219.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.41 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…c395backed Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 18c | 199$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.18 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Over | 49c | 159$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 59c | 152.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 49c | 152.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 31c | 148.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79e2…6538backed Over | 69c | 145.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 75c | 132.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 55c | 123$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 112.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…c7e6backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 96.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 52c | 96.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Over | 53c | 96.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 47c | 95.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…1dbebacked Under | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…9040backed Under | 52c | 81.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Under | 52c | 79.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…cdccbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. NuggetsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.