NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68cf559ac2c0280342758961698c456524a1c29c950a67d959f89a69818a6e6f

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Nuggets
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $72,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,898 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Cavaliers	47c	23,266$10,935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,331.02	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets	53c	13,848$7,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,322.58	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets	56c	13,541$7,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,607.51	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Cavaliers	42c	5,639$2,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,270.96	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	53c	3,667$1,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,955.74	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Nuggets	58c	3,279$1,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,902	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Cavaliers	42c	2,154$905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,249.39	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets	69c	1,898$1,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,305.03	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets	56c	1,749$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.6	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Cavaliers	42c	1,600$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.99	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets	53c	1,297$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.41	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Cavaliers	48c	1,292$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.67	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets	56c	1,136$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.97	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers	44c	1,018$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.08	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Nuggets	53c	981.13$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers	46c	800.04$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.02	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets	55c	691.24$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.85	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Cavaliers	47c	645.28$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Nuggets	8c	546.09$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	154	53.2%82 W · 72 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Nuggets	6c	538.74$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	180	55%99 W · 81 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Nuggets	5c	523.81$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	137	51.1%70 W · 67 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Nuggets	54c	518.52$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	78	62.8%49 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers	47c	514.05$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.45	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Nuggets	53c	440$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.2	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Cavaliers	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets	55c	376.45$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.05	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Nuggets	59c	339.01$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Nuggets	53c	319.35$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.26	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Cavaliers	50c	300.82$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.02	179	60.9%109 W · 70 L	+17.7wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Cavaliers	33c	262.58$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.09	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Cavaliers	43c	241.07$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.41	243	32.9%80 W · 163 L	-22.7wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Cavaliers	47c	212.76$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.76	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x023c…c195backed Cavaliers	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Cavaliers	44c	170$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.2	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Cavaliers	47c	155.11$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.83	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Nuggets	55c	150$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.11	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nuggets	53c	145$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.85	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers	31c	140.73$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.97	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Cavaliers	43c	131.17$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.82	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Cavaliers	43c	120.53$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.7	383	50.4%193 W · 190 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Cavaliers	43c	119.63$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.19	362	47.5%172 W · 190 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers	44c	113.52$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.11	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cavaliers	66c	110.8$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.6	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Nuggets	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	155	34.2%53 W · 102 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Cavaliers	43c	97.28$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.45	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Nuggets	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Nuggets	32c	91.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.65	311	44.4%138 W · 173 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets	64c	86.7$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.06	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1084…744abacked Cavaliers	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Nuggets	54c	80$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Nuggets	53c	62.68$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.17	293	51.9%152 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Cavaliers	43c	61$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.77	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e41…ca06backed Nuggets	70c	60$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Cavaliers	42c	60$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.8	105	58.1%61 W · 44 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Cavaliers	32c	60$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers	34c	60$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.73	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Cavaliers	43c	57.38$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.71	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Nuggets	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Nuggets	57c	52.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.86	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-9.2wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Nuggets	53c	52.06$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.59	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Cavaliers	42c	49.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.99	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Cavaliers	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Cavaliers	36c	41.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.34	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Cavaliers	42c	40.84$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7023…b538backed Cavaliers	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Cavaliers	43c	39.42$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.47	281	40.6%114 W · 167 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Nuggets	79c	39.4$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	144	55.6%80 W · 64 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cavaliers	37c	39.31$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.82	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Nuggets	80c	38.85$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x712c…717bbacked Nuggets	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Cavaliers	44c	36.28$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.44	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…9e0bbacked Nuggets	55c	36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed Nuggets	70c	35.73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.01	97	64.9%63 W · 34 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x020a…4b8abacked Cavaliers	48c	31.96$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.62	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.25per pick	52cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2040…70f4backed Cavaliers	49c	30.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ba…9b13backed Nuggets	52c	29.66$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.42	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d3…1bbabacked Nuggets	53c	28.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	56cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47cd…1f8bbacked Nuggets	54c	27.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	89	58.4%52 W · 37 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7994…c8c3backed Nuggets	74c	27.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf45d…fc79backed Cavaliers	49c	26.31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.42	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	55cpaid	+48%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Nuggets	54c	25.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Nuggets	60c	21.66$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	408	49%200 W · 208 L	-12.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fb4cbacked Nuggets	54c	21.24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	102	57.8%59 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nuggets	53c	19.45$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.31	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)this page
Cavaliers vs. NuggetsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Nuggets won
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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