NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fb1a4b85e7f64fa117be5999a7461dac0cd96160e65d7738d712d3382c00074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 54c | 71,672$38,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,077.07 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 46c | 34,871$16,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,040.77 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Under | 53c | 30,694$16,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,525.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 53c | 22,211$11,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,469.52 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…3794backed Over | 47c | 20,916$9,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,727 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 14,794$7,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,089.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 10,246$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.24 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 9,832$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 47c | 9,470$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,452.42 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 7,411$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,483.17 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 6,300$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 6,020$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.16 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…b0ffbacked Over | 46c | 4,783$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 4,632$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 47c | 4,497$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.56 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 53c | 3,775$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.25 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 2,560$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.6 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 47c | 2,458$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.37 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 2,366$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.65 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Over | 46c | 2,164$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.3 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 53c | 2,073$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.62 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 1,976$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.47 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 1,874$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.72 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 42c | 1,558$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 47c | 1,539$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 1,217$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 52c | 1,175$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.79 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.8 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Over | 47c | 1,040$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 47c | 1,040$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 836.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 48c | 586$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.28 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 580.05$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.34 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 8c | 548.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Over | 4c | 516.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 52c | 409.62$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 292$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 48c | 283$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabba…e3ebbacked Under | 51c | 280$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Under | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 167.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 67c | 140.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Under | 52c | 134.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 116.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Under | 48c | 110.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 45c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…70a9backed Under | 55c | 88.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…2949backed Under | 49c | 87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 52c | 69.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…c212backed Under | 53c | 59.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Under | 55c | 54.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…69e3backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 71c | 47.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 46.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 47c | 38.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…c9c4backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 54c | 36.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Under | 55c | 36.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…1a96backed Over | 47c | 34.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 39c | 29.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…3ab9backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…fb6cbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5this page
- Cavaliers vs. NuggetsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.