NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee92fc21e78cbfda991437176d305595b839210880ef60ba3e4a685620151e16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,763,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,969,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,763,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Cavaliers | 44c | 863,515$383,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479,968.17 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Cavaliers | 46c | 217,391$99,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,399.66 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets | 55c | 208,804$115,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,790.74 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Nuggets | 55c | 200,000$110,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,000 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Nuggets | 55c | 153,109$84,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,826 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 55c | 140,719$76,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,903.48 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nuggets | 56c | 136,470$76,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,413.9 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 55c | 114,859$62,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,982.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 54c | 72,280$38,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,974.92 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Nuggets | 54c | 70,000$37,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,800 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Cavaliers | 46c | 70,000$32,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,800 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 54c | 68,954$37,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,277.97 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 56c | 66,621$37,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,307.52 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cavaliers | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,599.99 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Cavaliers | 44c | 60,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,599.98 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Nuggets | 51c | 52,768$26,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,911.76 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Nuggets | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 41c | 43,913$17,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,945.09 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad6…1455backed Nuggets | 71c | 39,511$27,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,900 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 35,804$18,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,975.97 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Nuggets | 56c | 28,470$16,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,049.07 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 26,899$13,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,987.66 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Nuggets | 56c | 26,161$14,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,539.02 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Cavaliers | 35c | 25,218$8,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,269.78 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cavaliers | 26c | 25,147$6,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,580.38 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…a31bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 25,011$12,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,755.55 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Nuggets | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers | 48c | 25,000$12,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,889.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nuggets | 55c | 24,487$13,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,468.08 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…a13cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 24,344$12,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,415.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Cavaliers | 30c | 23,318$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,418.15 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 47c | 23,009$10,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,194.51 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Nuggets | 56c | 22,900$12,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,824 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Cavaliers | 49c | 22,816$11,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,636.35 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 21,962$10,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,978.19 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 21,700$10,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,850.01 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…abeebacked Nuggets | 51c | 21,560$10,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,995.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 21,305$11,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,078.6 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294c…8cacbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 20,501$10,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,455.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Nuggets | 54c | 20,254$10,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,937.19 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…aa4abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 19,569$9,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,078.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Cavaliers | 41c | 18,897$7,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,183.77 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…2658backed Nuggets | 65c | 18,846$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250.14 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 66c | 18,620$12,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,285.1 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 53c | 17,798$9,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,414.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 51c | 17,610$9,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,051.42 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…9550backed Nuggets | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 17,340$8,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,669.87 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets | 72c | 17,208$12,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,416.61 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Cavaliers | 30c | 16,906$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,905.9 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers | 26c | 15,952$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,746.33 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Nuggets | 55c | 14,979$8,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,238.32 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Nuggets | 0c | 14,580$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Nuggets | 71c | 14,056$10,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,020.11 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Cavaliers | 25c | 13,889$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,388.91 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Cavaliers | 49c | 13,258$6,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,775.41 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 19c | 12,511$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.88 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 12,213$6,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,148.51 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 11,874$6,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,445.03 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Nuggets | 50c | 11,616$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.63 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Cavaliers | 29c | 11,507$3,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,170.2 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Nuggets | 76c | 11,034$8,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,385.81 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Nuggets | 54c | 10,708$5,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,748.26 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,180$5,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,088.13 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Nuggets | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cavaliers | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Cavaliers | 41c | 10,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,920 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Nuggets | 6c | 10,000$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Nuggets | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.93 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 44c | 9,979$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,588.19 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Cavaliers | 48c | 9,902$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150.88 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 52c | 9,823$5,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,106.94 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Cavaliers | 47c | 9,297$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,927.41 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 69c | 9,203$6,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,354.89 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 9,184$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.33 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Nuggets | 67c | 9,001$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Cavaliers | 39c | 9,000$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Cavaliers | 29c | 8,749$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,248.68 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Nuggets | 51c | 8,200$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Cavaliers | 48c | 8,200$3,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.91 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Nuggets | 66c | 8,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Cavaliers | 48c | 7,995$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.07 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Cavaliers | 50c | 7,869$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,935.6 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers | 29c | 7,856$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,552.43 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Cavaliers | 50c | 7,450$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760.32 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Nuggets | 50c | 7,301$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.5 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 7,300$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.96 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 11c | 7,119$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,315.85 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Nuggets | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 6,817$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.45 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cavaliers | 38c | 6,681$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,133.77 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Cavaliers | 30c | 6,676$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,657.91 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.97 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Nuggets | 49c | 6,124$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.76 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Cavaliers | 49c | 6,044$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.44 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked Nuggets | 50c | 5,839$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Cavaliers | 27c | 5,767$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.67 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Nuggets | 54c | 5,596$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.08 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Nuggets | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Cavaliers | 30c | 5,424$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.36 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
- Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.