MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x516edf2b006cfd8a869d006c07115bdf4f6cd13cdcfe9baaf30e97a96e3aa021
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 14,468$6,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,523.33 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Under | 51c | 9,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 6,410$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 5,001$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 47c | 4,270$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.1 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 4,093$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.46 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 3,314$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 2,401$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.48 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 49c | 2,206$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.48 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 54c | 1,009$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.86 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 53c | 1,002$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.06 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 50c | 906.43$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.21 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 900$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 48c | 782.67$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.99 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 53c | 780$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 672$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.32 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 49c | 602.58$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.32 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 44c | 461.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.21 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 47c | 448.8$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.87 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 430$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 53c | 362$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 33c | 340$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 52c | 309.79$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.09 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 286.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 49c | 267.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.37 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 50c | 241.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 59c | 194.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 49c | 160.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 53c | 137.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Over | 47c | 135.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 49c | 128$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 113.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 49c | 109.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 47c | 108$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 103.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over | 49c | 100.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Over | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Under | 69c | 97.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Under | 70c | 90.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Over | 48c | 87.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 47c | 85.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 46c | 73.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 54c | 65.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 59.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 53c | 56.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 53c | 56.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Under | 53c | 56.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 53c | 55.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 53c | 52.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…79ddbacked Over | 50c | 49.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 50c | 49.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 48c | 48.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Over | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…317bbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 49c | 38.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…7192backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 60c | 33.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Under | 54c | 32.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 67c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 24.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…0eb4backed Over | 50c | 23.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 49c | 22.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…12e9backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City RoyalsChicago Cubs won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.