MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3b7570ffe6d8e0ad6d3f57939840b7da056973d437009282a3311803d6b0507
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 20,011$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.34 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 19,058$14,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.55 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 18,625$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 2cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 31c | 15,549$4,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.08 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 9,597$5,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,742.71 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 8,918$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,478.07 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 6,639$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.48 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Chicago Cubs | 78c | 3,828$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.79 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 3,522$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.74 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 313 | 30.7%96 W · 217 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 16c | 1,621$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.49 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,485$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.17 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 975.74$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.95 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 947.93$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.69 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 820$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 751.79$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.72 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kansas City Royals | 9c | 534.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 524.93$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.72 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kansas City Royals | 6c | 517.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Kansas City Royals | 3c | 511.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 490$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 390$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 377.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 345$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Kansas City Royals | 22c | 322$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Kansas City Royals | 7c | 315.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 314$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 307.12$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 279$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 276.32$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 270$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Kansas City Royals | 15c | 265.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 451 | 59.2%267 W · 184 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Kansas City Royals | 10c | 260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 252.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 251.61$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.13 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Chicago Cubs | 79c | 247.91$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas City Royals | 13c | 225.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 222.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…e51dbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 216.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 170$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 170$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Kansas City Royals | 7c | 155.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 151$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…486cbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 149.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…dd88backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 132.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 128.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 477 | 52.8%252 W · 225 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b11…11aebacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 126.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 126.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 123.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 108$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kansas City Royals | 14c | 104.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Kansas City Royals | 12c | 103.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 101.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 100.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 343 | 53.4%183 W · 160 L | +18.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Kansas City Royals | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Kansas City Royals | 20c | 98.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 231 | 42.9%99 W · 132 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 98.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 324 | 34.6%112 W · 212 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 96.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 83.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1586…b94abacked Kansas City Royals | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4e…d6e9backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 75.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kansas City Royals | 17c | 72.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 68.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 547 | 40.2%220 W · 327 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…6be6backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 66.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kansas City Royals | 25c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals | 22c | 60.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 53.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1,306 | 50.7%662 W · 644 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 50.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Kansas City Royals | 22c | 50.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 199 | 60.3%120 W · 79 L | +21.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746c…36aabacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 72cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.