MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9251f835eeaae0dcfe88795fafb4ed976d5394153fca468f2c3fe3a81c8c32f

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $321,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $319,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,147 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over	56c	160,403$89,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71,351.86	469	49%230 W · 239 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	45c	60,914$27,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,495.71	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under	44c	50,000$22,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,999.98	436	47%205 W · 231 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	45c	45,671$20,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,551.74	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	56c	30,632$17,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,440.82	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	56c	23,487$13,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,334.48	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	45c	15,432$6,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,944.39	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	55c	12,939$7,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,822.37	716	50.7%363 W · 353 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	44c	11,072$4,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,871.49	776	47.4%368 W · 408 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under	44c	10,603$4,665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,665.32	235	38.3%90 W · 145 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8df…a2c7backed Under	7c	7,274$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.94	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	14c	6,222$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.98	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	44c	5,545$2,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,440	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	40c	5,463$2,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,196.66	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	45c	4,281$1,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,907.86	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	44c	4,095$1,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,819.35	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Under	44c	2,685$1,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,181.52	739	49.8%368 W · 371 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under	44c	2,685$1,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,181.52	792	55.6%440 W · 352 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over	56c	2,679$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,178.58	399	53.6%214 W · 185 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over	56c	2,679$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,178.58	385	51.4%198 W · 187 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under	44c	2,546$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.3	127	59.1%75 W · 52 L	+9.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	75c	2,543$1,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.47	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	44c	2,500$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	1,292	50.2%648 W · 644 L	+18.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd403…a817backed Under	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	4cpaid	+376.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over	56c	1,600$896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704	877	50.4%442 W · 435 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	29c	1,500$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under	44c	1,461$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.62	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Under	44c	1,400$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616	287	53.3%153 W · 134 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec95…a2dcbacked Under	44c	1,364$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under	44c	1,101$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.54	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under	44c	1,101$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.23	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	44c	1,093$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.54	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Under	44c	900$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	279	52%145 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under	45c	858.56$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.35	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under	44c	819.95$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.78	322	51.6%166 W · 156 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	54c	774.33$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.19	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under	46c	761$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.06	272	49.3%134 W · 138 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	56c	750.66$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.29	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Under	44c	660.32$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.54	117	51.3%60 W · 57 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	36c	657.81$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.44	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	44c	636$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.84	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	71c	619.19$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.57	1,723	50.3%867 W · 856 L	+55.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over	47c	600$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318	299	50.5%151 W · 148 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under	44c	563.31$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.99	442	45.5%201 W · 241 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	53c	540.49$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.03	475	45.9%218 W · 257 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb68…4ef3backed Under	44c	519.95$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.78	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under	45c	500$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.5	452	52.4%237 W · 215 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	66c	485.86$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.64	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under	45c	411.62$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.3	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	54c	353.83$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.11	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49f0…285fbacked Over	57c	309.97$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.45	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-9.7wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	48c	300$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.95	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Over	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x816b…9ec7backed Over	72c	279.42$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.42	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under	44c	277.27$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	1,038	51.7%537 W · 501 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Under	44c	277.27$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	404	47.8%193 W · 211 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	41c	273.38$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.81	470	56.6%266 W · 204 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	41c	273.38$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.81	733	55.3%405 W · 328 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under	45c	268.81$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.39	220	50.5%111 W · 109 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	29c	250$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.5	318	44%140 W · 178 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under	34c	231.3$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.87	799	55.9%447 W · 352 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under	45c	212.75$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.94	526	38.4%202 W · 324 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	45c	178$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.1	450	45.8%206 W · 244 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	276	46.7%129 W · 147 L	+10.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Over	54c	166.67$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.67	379	41.2%156 W · 223 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Under	41c	161.59$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.93	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over	55c	133$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.85	736	53%390 W · 346 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over	54c	126.11$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.43	215	47%101 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under	44c	126.01$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.51	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under	44c	120$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	82	45.1%37 W · 45 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	44c	112.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,195	50%597 W · 598 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x705f…f413backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.87	252	60.3%152 W · 100 L	+16.6wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Under	58c	98.42$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.6	153	40.5%62 W · 91 L	-10.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	1,168	49%572 W · 596 L	+17.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Under	13c	89.96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.69	162	53.1%86 W · 76 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over	56c	80.38$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.09	1,245	56.9%708 W · 537 L	+31.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Under	44c	79.77$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	162	50.6%82 W · 80 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Under	17c	77.82$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under	44c	76.7$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	674	53%357 W · 317 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	54c	69.96$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.24	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49f…03acbacked Over	57c	68.19$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.55	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcce5…5628backed Under	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under	44c	64$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.16	127	52%66 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c96…0a39backed Under	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	153	52.3%80 W · 73 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under	41c	61.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	45c	59.81$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.91	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b2…79ddbacked Under	44c	54.84$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.13	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Over	54c	52$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.92	272	52.9%144 W · 128 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	44c	48.2$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.21	403	41.4%167 W · 236 L	-20.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd25…a624backed Over	58c	47.53$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.83	70	60%42 W · 28 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed Under	41c	47.36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e88…317bbacked Under	51c	39.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+5.2wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over	54c	37.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.03	945	49%463 W · 482 L	-38.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa21e…044abacked Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	54c	32.65$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.86	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under	45c	32.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	788	54.6%430 W · 358 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under	44c	30.04$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	314	46.8%147 W · 167 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8c…e77dbacked Over	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	63	77.8%49 W · 14 L	+10.0wins	+0.16per pick	62cpaid	+93.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d2c…00b5backed Over	55c	27.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.28	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxAthletics won
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Athletics won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Athletics won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Athletics won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event