MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bec029138e3b42eb871846e507a6965d2f9444b0582e2da6c2ad34d3e5bd71f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Boston Red Sox, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 89,839$51,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,207.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 67,234$37,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,348.66 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 43c | 42,929$18,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,469.27 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed Athletics | 45c | 30,367$13,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,771.57 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Athletics | 44c | 19,179$8,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,739.97 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed Athletics | 44c | 14,450$6,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,092.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Athletics | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,125 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Athletics | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,125 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 11,734$6,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,471.52 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Athletics | 44c | 9,050$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…af19backed Athletics | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 45c | 7,548$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.06 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Athletics | 45c | 6,678$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.94 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Athletics | 45c | 6,457$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.36 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 4,456$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.54 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Athletics | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,938$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.83 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,509$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.91 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Athletics | 43c | 2,427$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.39 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics | 44c | 2,379$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.03 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Athletics | 44c | 1,804$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.89 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Athletics | 44c | 1,715$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.6 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 51c | 1,229$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Athletics | 62c | 1,192$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.5 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,102$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,031$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.87 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.72 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…c304backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 791.02$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.81 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 735.66$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.05 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Athletics | 46c | 679.87$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.63 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 508.77$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Athletics | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Athletics | 49c | 444.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.51 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Athletics | 46c | 400$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.59 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 59c | 317$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.73 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Athletics | 48c | 299.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 273$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 257$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Athletics | 43c | 257$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.49 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 243$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 42c | 220.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 31c | 195$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Athletics | 46c | 181.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Athletics | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 176.4$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 140.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…2dc5backed Athletics | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Athletics | 44c | 133$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 44c | 100.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…cfdabacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Athletics | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7c…be85backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Athletics | 45c | 86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Athletics | 44c | 84.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…26a0backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 75.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Athletics | 49c | 74.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…bb29backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 74.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a58…5fb7backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…6aaabacked Athletics | 44c | 65.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Athletics | 45c | 65.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 486 | 51.6%251 W · 235 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Athletics | 45c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Athletics | 45c | 61.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Athletics | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a10…2a2ebacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Athletics | 52c | 53.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Athletics | 45c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Athletics | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Athletics | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Athletics | 47c | 46.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…df88backed Athletics | 37c | 42.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +299%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Athletics | 26c | 41.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 39.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 36.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21e…044abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd301…f176backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6500backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Athletics | 46c | 31.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8134…7cebbacked Boston Red Sox | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…b228backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 28.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 56.1%188 W · 147 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Athletics | 46c | 26.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 25.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…2efbbacked Athletics | 59c | 25.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 24.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Athletics | 44c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c6…97c3backed Athletics | 45c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Boston Red Sox | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxAthletics won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.