MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67c06a12a9dfab9a39c38cc521dbc10e1d0b2d6591bcfec6cc6fc0d10f60763d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $937,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $904,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $937,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Athletics | 29c | 196,864$57,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,788.92 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 161,759$114,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,848.89 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Athletics | 29c | 100,000$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,999.76 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 93,575$25,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,265.18 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 61,290$32,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,788.11 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 32,689$23,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,209.2 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Athletics | 30c | 31,010$9,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,707.15 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 48c | 21,941$10,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,335.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 16,589$11,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,778.19 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 15,986$8,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,521.69 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 13,500$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,450.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Athletics | 10c | 11,309$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,178.01 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 10,266$6,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,336.66 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 31c | 10,041$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,941.35 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 50c | 7,161$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,592.82 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 5,627$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.07 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 3,999$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.84 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 3,111$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.5 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Athletics | 29c | 3,060$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.6 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Boston Red Sox | 1c | 3,048$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 2,825$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.03 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 29c | 2,688$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Boston Red Sox | 24c | 2,471$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics | 29c | 2,126$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.63 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Athletics | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 1,791$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.34 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 19c | 1,787$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Athletics | 60c | 1,641$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.1 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…22d2backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 1,523$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.06 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…552ebacked Athletics | 17c | 1,456$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.87 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 1,445$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.96 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Boston Red Sox | 19c | 1,433$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.18 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 1,409$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.14 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,339$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.71 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d9…ecd7backed Athletics | 26c | 1,131$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Athletics | 29c | 1,102$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.42 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Athletics | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Athletics | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 27c | 900$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.74 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Athletics | 49c | 850.43$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.85 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Athletics | 29c | 843.87$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.33 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 825.98$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.36 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 819.93$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.96 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 804.83$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 789$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.19 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 21c | 753.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 741.98$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.79 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…036abacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 707.52$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 706.4$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.56 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 698.25$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.26 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Athletics | 30c | 625$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.5 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Athletics | 28c | 597.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.21 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Athletics | 13c | 591.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.71 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…bf18backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 546.18$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Boston Red Sox | 7c | 539$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 522.22$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.83 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics | 59c | 516.72$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.25 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Athletics | 57c | 452.55$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5f…dc31backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 30c | 420$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 405$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.55 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 404.82$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.42 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…ea25backed Athletics | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 397.69$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.63 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Boston Red Sox | 21c | 392.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Athletics | 45c | 384.56$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.51 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Athletics | 29c | 379.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.33 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 374.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Athletics | 29c | 370.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.76 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 20c | 361.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.31 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Boston Red Sox | 77c | 359.02$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.19 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 346$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.66 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Athletics | 29c | 333.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.48 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 331.78$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.56 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed Athletics | 33c | 320.76$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.91 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Athletics | 55c | 307.64$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b40…b77abacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Athletics | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Athletics | 23c | 298$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.46 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 293.75$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Athletics | 58c | 272$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.82 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Athletics | 30c | 270$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…80a4backed Athletics | 50c | 269.28$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Athletics | 48c | 260.77$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Athletics | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Athletics | 43c | 250.63$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.26 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics | 30c | 250$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…3f66backed Athletics | 29c | 229$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…2dc5backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 211.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.