MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc14121a7783147ad899c0334474ec9d37d60585af827775ace0ae92cae5f02d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 45c | 80,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 55c | 80,000$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,999.99 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 45c | 52,100$23,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,655.06 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,499.99 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 26,602$14,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,900.9 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 25,205$11,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,862.7 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 44c | 22,222$9,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,444.32 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d2…399bbacked Under | 6c | 12,425$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 77c | 9,265$7,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.65 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 74c | 6,093$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.82 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 55c | 5,600$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 5,203$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.58 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 45c | 4,595$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 45c | 3,849$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.95 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 63c | 3,442$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.17 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 44c | 3,442$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.83 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 52c | 2,945$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.14 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 57c | 2,608$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 41c | 2,520$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Under | 3c | 1,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 69 | 7.2%5 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 1,584$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 1,403$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 1,327$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.9 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 57c | 1,301$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.28 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 45c | 1,136$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.99 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 63c | 1,026$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.51 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 55c | 975$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 56c | 920.07$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.24 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Over | 26c | 693.19$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.27 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 55c | 523$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.65 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 63c | 403.1$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 10c | 399.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Under | 58c | 333.55$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.18 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 63c | 318.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 43c | 316.68$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 305.24$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.33 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 57c | 303$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.71 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 55c | 227.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 52c | 221.17$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 44c | 179$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 63c | 159.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 63c | 159.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 45c | 126$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 32c | 116.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 54c | 108.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 42c | 100.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 62c | 98.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Under | 45c | 95.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 44c | 89.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…b826backed Under | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…78e1backed Under | 41c | 81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 66c | 78.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 44c | 76.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Over | 37c | 73.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…10c1backed Under | 35c | 66.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 56c | 65.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 37c | 62.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 44c | 57.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Over | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 31c | 50.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 48.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Under | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 43c | 45.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x243d…c2ecbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 55c | 39.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Under | 63c | 39.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…3447backed Under | 67c | 37.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 37.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 45c | 37.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 35c | 36.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Over | 44c | 33.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 56c | 33.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…0801backed Under | 64c | 25.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888a…2a3cbacked Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…cd73backed Under | 61c | 20.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 63c | 17.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 57c | 17.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…df36backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5this page
- Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxAthletics won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.