TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x888a…2a3c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$26.91
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.96
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Sinners (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 15backed K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$23.83
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winnerbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.76
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 Winnerbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$41.76
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+57%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.75
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.