CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4a88968faddd406f9209c447702b8e81a6ebefe6c3a040a0ccd1bb3bbcebd6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BASEMENT BOYS, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed Fire Flux Esports | 3c | 603.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Fire Flux Esports | 3c | 603.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 446.32$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.53 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 206.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Fire Flux Esports | 15c | 193.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 31c | 177.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fire Flux Esports | 54c | 171.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BASEMENT BOYS | 47c | 161.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 155.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded1…eedfbacked Fire Flux Esports | 67c | 149.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 144.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 136.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 110.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 278 | 42.4%118 W · 160 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 61c | 101.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fire Flux Esports | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 98.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 94.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Fire Flux Esports | 38c | 82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BASEMENT BOYS | 56c | 78.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 78.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 66.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…90afbacked Fire Flux Esports | 56c | 62.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 77c | 62.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 27c | 55.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 69c | 51.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x888a…2a3cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 40.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed BASEMENT BOYS | 79c | 35.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde47…cb61backed Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 33.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Fire Flux Esports | 60c | 30.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…7262backed BASEMENT BOYS | 78c | 27.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7b…717ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 75c | 26.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 52c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group ABASEMENT BOYS won
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerBASEMENT BOYS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.