CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb668c25113597d5fe8e825d3618a9a41c0c7afb51126273057e64866b4c2cbc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BASEMENT BOYS, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 42c | 3,935$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.79 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…952dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.99 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 1,446$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.52 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 1,054$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.05 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Fire Flux Esports | 11c | 933.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed BASEMENT BOYS | 77c | 902.85$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.64 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 731.62$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 691.22$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.18 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…b5fcbacked Fire Flux Esports | 4c | 623$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…ccd0backed Fire Flux Esports | 4c | 581$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 570.58$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.74 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 547.2$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.2 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BASEMENT BOYS | 40c | 495.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.39 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 455.25$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.51 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 441.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.18 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 69c | 388.84$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Fire Flux Esports | 59c | 340$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Fire Flux Esports | 64c | 311.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Fire Flux Esports | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9c…91e9backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 273.48$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 265.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 48c | 262$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Fire Flux Esports | 64c | 222.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.69 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed BASEMENT BOYS | 60c | 212.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 212$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fire Flux Esports | 49c | 185.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 60c | 174.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 365 | 40%146 W · 219 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Fire Flux Esports | 51c | 164.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fire Flux Esports | 31c | 160.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Fire Flux Esports | 51c | 158.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed BASEMENT BOYS | 48c | 146.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 131.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 129.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Fire Flux Esports | 61c | 119.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 101$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Fire Flux Esports | 52c | 97.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fire Flux Esports | 49c | 94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 52c | 88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Fire Flux Esports | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed Fire Flux Esports | 62c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 66.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 66.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 63.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 42c | 63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 40c | 62.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Fire Flux Esports | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 74c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 55.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 53.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…c576backed Fire Flux Esports | 46c | 51.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Fire Flux Esports | 48c | 48.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 513 | 52%267 W · 246 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 43.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 43.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 486 | 54.5%265 W · 221 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 51c | 40.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Fire Flux Esports | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports | 42c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed BASEMENT BOYS | 73c | 35.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 535 | 69.3%371 W · 164 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed Fire Flux Esports | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb191…028ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 71c | 22.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…6a06backed Fire Flux Esports | 49c | 22.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…f571backed Fire Flux Esports | 62c | 21.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 20.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed BASEMENT BOYS | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Fire Flux Esports | 60c | 17.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f46…c530backed Fire Flux Esports | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerBASEMENT BOYS won
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerBASEMENT BOYS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.