TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa5a9…c576

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst WNBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.27
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.98
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$98.54
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$43.24
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked MEIA NOITE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$32.42
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked ex-Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$21.99
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.47
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Grêmio Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$39.06
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$68.09
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Bbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$35.63
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Abacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
Counter-Strike: NRG vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked SportsBetExpert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.46
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.51
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$29.54
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$25.08
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.88
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.05
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$57.82
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$69.42
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.46
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.93
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Insbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+59%+$19.29
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$31.55
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+188.3%+$52.99
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35%+$42.31
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.49
Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$27.38
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.54
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+238.8%+$27.01
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$64.92
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$37.29
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$37.03
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$31.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.34
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.88
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$13.17
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.16
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.85
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.07
LoL: LOS vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$20.65
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.1
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.38
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.38
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.31
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.39
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$70.62
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$57.89
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.02
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.73
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.2
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.75
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Cbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.12
Chicago Sky vs. New York Libertybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bonn: Max Houkes vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.89
Hamburg European Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.