TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,252 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under61c212,012$130,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,678.4613856.5%78 W · 60 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over38c95,071$36,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,127.0685645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over42c61,585$25,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,824.1211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over39c12,500$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,87536246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Over39c11,410$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,45012343.1%53 W · 70 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over39c7,757$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.016,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over39c6,314$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.6145748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over42c6,021$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.462,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over39c3,981$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.775,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under61c3,287$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.899643.8%42 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over38c3,131$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over40c3,107$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.312,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over58c2,898$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.824,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over47c2,250$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.632,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under47c2,200$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16610748.6%52 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Over38c1,936$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.6832652.5%171 W · 155 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under66c1,870$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over39c1,500$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5888,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6e…453bbacked Over59c1,474$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under44c1,352$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.083,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over39c1,172$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.0122448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9437…235ebacked Under44c1,169$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.897243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58038353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under44c836.37$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.371,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over39c781$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.252,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over39c665$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.551,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under60c603.82$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.491877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over39c585$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.151,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over58c532.01$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.311,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over40c512.82$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1387750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over40c512.81$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1256253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c476.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.478,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under45c475$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.954,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under44c353$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6823140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under55c343.93$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.785,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over42c313.34$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.978,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under44c285$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.677752.1%405 W · 372 L+36.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over40c275.02$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under48c274.71$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9443459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over59c266.69$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.221,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over28c246.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.029,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Under52c200.44$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.815846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under32c193.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3531844%140 W · 178 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over43c165.69$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.591,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over57c139.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.663,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under42c127.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.914,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Over41c121.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034843.4%151 W · 197 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under51c111.12$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.14,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over49c106.12$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under41c104.95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5411331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Over50c104.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1614752.4%77 W · 70 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489655.2%53 W · 43 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over68c86.66$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.935,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over39c84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7695252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under59c82.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9929141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under40c81.34$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.794,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under63c75.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.171,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under57c74.16$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.891,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.33666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Over41c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.414047.9%67 W · 73 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over35c69.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.334139.9%136 W · 205 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c67.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4264…1169backed Over45c67.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over27c63.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.361,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515639.1%61 W · 95 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over40c60.52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2126747.9%128 W · 139 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4514745.6%67 W · 80 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4539053.6%209 W · 181 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Over40c50.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2117550.3%88 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…c576backed Under50c43.96$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.98580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over46c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.942,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddb3…5fe5backed Under44c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.67163.4%45 W · 26 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6c7…216abacked Under45c34.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.94683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+80.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x847e…cc57backed Under48c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6413554.8%74 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9b…f703backed Under61c31.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.213850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0882…dceabacked Over40c31.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.646040%24 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under67c26.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.611,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea53…e1ebbacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c9…b258backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Over60c24.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Over52c20.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6240048.5%194 W · 206 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac4…356fbacked Over51c20.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.442,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f9…6c15backed Over58c19.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.062040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.