MLB · resolved market
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3cb45141eeb547a8ba303696c817556d96514ab820d65a0988c9038a96ddb9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Colorado Rockies, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 13,415$6,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,053.64 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 10,907$6,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,798.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 3,951$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.58 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Colorado Rockies | 67c | 2,987$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.77 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 2,525$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 2,498$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.91 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Colorado Rockies | 74c | 1,370$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 912.07$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.12 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 840.94$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.76 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 521.62$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Colorado Rockies | 20c | 484.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.94 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Colorado Rockies | 34c | 479.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.16 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 450$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…9486backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 449.03$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Milwaukee Brewers | 80c | 435$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Milwaukee Brewers | 29c | 306.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 239.66$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 234.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5871…0defbacked Colorado Rockies | 21c | 222.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Colorado Rockies | 64c | 187.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 167.61$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 155.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 140.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 107.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 73.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Milwaukee Brewers | 79c | 72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 66.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 65.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Colorado Rockies | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bc…292abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 61.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 34c | 58.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Colorado Rockies | 42c | 56.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 54.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Colorado Rockies | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 35.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 34.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…6c15backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 33.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Milwaukee Brewers | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…f290backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 22.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 21.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.