MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x990e585eb0d6d823cd60fdd788290407294d50e16328eeb1ab10a9db0680c0fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 22,822$11,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,155.29 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 15,527$8,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,135.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 48c | 14,566$6,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,574.32 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 11,587$5,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,983.71 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 55c | 9,078$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,041.96 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 6,746$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 47c | 5,077$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.7 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 3,904$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 47c | 2,546$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.38 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 1,768$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.57 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 38c | 1,743$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.42 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 49c | 1,721$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.7 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 1,552$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 1,437$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.34 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 1,318$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.75 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 1,282$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.56 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 48c | 1,246$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.17 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 48c | 1,235$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.38 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 1,215$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.18 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 1,082$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed Over | 71c | 1,070$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.38 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 48c | 750.24$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.12 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 74c | 747.54$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 52c | 674$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.48 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 74c | 670.49$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 49c | 608.4$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.22 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 30c | 566.85$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.62 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 558$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.67 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 441$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 26c | 391$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 37c | 385.53$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.11 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 28c | 347.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 38c | 256.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.53 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 61c | 234.83$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 48c | 208.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 49c | 198$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 49c | 191.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 49c | 191.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 38c | 191.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 53c | 186$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 44c | 165.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 39c | 161.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 48c | 146.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 71c | 141.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 48c | 131.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 52c | 129.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 52c | 128.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 52c | 119.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 26c | 119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 52c | 118.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 52c | 113$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 53c | 100.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 100.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 50c | 100.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 48c | 93.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 48c | 93.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 33c | 80.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 47c | 68.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 26c | 65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 59.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 49c | 59.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 32c | 56.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 34c | 54.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 49c | 48.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Over | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Over | 61c | 43.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 27c | 41.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 47c | 33.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…078bbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…6c15backed Under | 70c | 28.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…b7d4backed Under | 36c | 28.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.