TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c22,822$11,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,155.2911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c15,527$8,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,135.614,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under48c14,566$6,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,574.3210748.6%52 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c11,587$5,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,983.711,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under55c9,078$5,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,041.968,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over53c7,500$3,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,97548952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c6,746$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.6310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under47c5,077$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,690.745748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c3,904$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.166,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under47c2,546$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.3871650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3255,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3007147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Over53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c1,768$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.576,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under38c1,743$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.422,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under49c1,721$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.72,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under47c1,552$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.063,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under48c1,437$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.342,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c1,318$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.752,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c1,282$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.564,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under48c1,246$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.1739953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under48c1,235$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3838551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c1,215$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.188,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c1,082$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.1512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbac…38d0backed Over71c1,070$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.382766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under48c750.24$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.1216753.9%90 W · 77 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under74c747.54$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.511,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over52c674$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4827249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under74c670.49$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.689,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over53c660.38$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under49c608.4$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.2295252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31832850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under30c566.85$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.6252750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c558$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.678,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c441$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.321,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over26c391$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.614,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under37c385.53$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1111331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over28c347.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.551,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15922448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under38c256.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5328749.5%142 W · 145 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under61c234.83$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.113,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2765248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under51c215.69$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.693,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.21,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under48c208.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3446152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4931844%140 W · 178 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3870737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under49c198$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.971,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under49c191.32$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5747350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Under49c191.22$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5240447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under38c191.12$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6743459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015639.1%61 W · 95 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over53c186$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.581,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Under44c165.82$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.622450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over39c161.59$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.41,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under48c146.77$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3248851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over71c141.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015954.7%87 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under48c131.1$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1753655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over52c129.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.111,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over52c128.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2529141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Under49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.454047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over52c119.05$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.911,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over26c119$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.943,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over52c118.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.326747.9%128 W · 139 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over52c113$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.235,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over53c100.74$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3985645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under49c100.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.681,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under50c100.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.872,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5254146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under48c93.78$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7746255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under48c93.78$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7728553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under33c80.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.634139.9%136 W · 205 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under49c78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7835650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Under47c68.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.121,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Under26c65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9579442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under48c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.112,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Under33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6129747.1%140 W · 157 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under48c59.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.492,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over49c59.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.221,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over52c59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6826751.7%138 W · 129 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under32c56.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7773355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over52c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.634846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over34c54.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.255,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Over52c51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5224749%121 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Under49c48.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9116355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over53c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9145445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Over32c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7214752.4%77 W · 70 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Over61c43.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.266055%33 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under27c41.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.024,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Under49c39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8935149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under47c33.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea7…078bbacked Under47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Over52c30.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611149.5%55 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Under49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.617644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f9…6c15backed Under70c28.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.572040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e1…b7d4backed Under36c28.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.062040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7588053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.