MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35288ae0c0393417eb9b1484d4bf4a073d5f25600e37cc62c3cce60f2f6e8588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 46c | 10,847$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,867.09 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Over | 61c | 4,584$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 3,697$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 20c | 3,102$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.93 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 51c | 2,923$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 1,806$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.6 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 1,372$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 39c | 1,309$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.3 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 65c | 1,135$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.35 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Over | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 903.87$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Over | 61c | 820$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Under | 41c | 651.53$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.53 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 39c | 526.32$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.05 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 5c | 515.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 39c | 515.27$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.69 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 40c | 512.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.69 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 423.61$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 27c | 407.37$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 394$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 60c | 348.54$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 321.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 40c | 275.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 24c | 238.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 39c | 225.64$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.55 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 64c | 212.02$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 28c | 210.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…e334backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 51c | 130.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 44c | 127.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 51c | 119.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 64c | 96.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Under | 60c | 84.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 78c | 75.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 66c | 74.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 39c | 72.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 68.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 40c | 61.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 60.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Over | 71c | 56.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 72c | 56.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Over | 59c | 55.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 39c | 53.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 59c | 51.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 47c | 44.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Under | 25c | 43.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed9f…b19dbacked Over | 60c | 41.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 40c | 37.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 65c | 36.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 59c | 33.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Over | 76c | 28.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Over | 49c | 27.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…6c15backed Under | 47c | 27.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…a164backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe602…9446backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Over | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.