MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab3e0308e7ebe7d59027c06aa80ced24e852c0c31c56a4ee83a0b57b9f78cf37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $486,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,999.97 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 170,000$90,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,900 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,099.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 29,737$15,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,247.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.98 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 16,776$8,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,884.72 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 12,500$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.94 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 10,823$7,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.14 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…93afbacked Washington Nationals | 0c | 10,720$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 420 | 41.9%176 W · 244 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 10,162$4,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,776.26 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 10,155$7,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 7,778$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.77 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 7,502$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.37 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 7,446$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.84 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 6,267$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.46 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 5,594$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.31 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 5,032$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.23 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.97 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 4,377$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.57 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 4,006$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.89 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 3,727$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.87 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 3,290$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.58 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,739$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.31 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 2,309$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.05 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 2,307$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 2,227$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.42 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 2,217$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.85 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 2,207$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.73 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 2,127$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.08 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 1,977$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.5 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.8 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.8 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,860$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.6 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,827$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.62 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,749$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.93 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 1,715$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.16 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…861abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,460$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,450$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,225$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,211$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.12 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,185$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.57 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,067$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,000$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.9 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 883.18$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.82 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 876.54$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.17 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 747.35$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.79 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 702.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.08 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 685$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 645.33$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 642.52$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.76 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 629.96$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.08 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 628.47$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.16 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 609.25$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.67 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 597.77$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.8 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 589.96$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.2 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 576$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.96 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 565.58$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 556$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.18 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 552.19$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.22 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 550$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 546.17$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.7 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 530.11$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 507.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6738…c215backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 472.17$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 461$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.35 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 443.33$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.33 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 438.89$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…49d6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 430.63$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 429.77$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 417.09$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.11 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 414.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.31 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 390$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 390$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 381.96$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 369.66$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.46 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 363.75$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 360.41$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.39 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 344.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.92 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 334.15$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.05 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 332.23$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.65 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 329.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 329.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 325$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Washington Nationals | 61c | 324.89$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.18 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 320$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 315$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.63 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 312.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Washington Nationals | 66c | 310.61$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.